Analysis:
10:00pm ET - 7:00pm PT / #261
Dallas Cowboys @ San Diego Chargers
1* Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
Dallas takes to the road tonight in their first pre-season game having been a very solid UNDER team in the last two seasons. The Cowboys went 1-3 O/U last year… and have gone 1-5-1 O/U in their last seven NFL ‘X’ game over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, the Chargers are another team that’s ‘Gone Low’ as of late, with a 1-3 O/U record last year in the pre-season.
These two teams are pre-season rivals. They’ve played each other four times in the last five years. Average OU line in those games: 39.1…. Average combined points in those games: 34.8. The UNDER has brought home the cash in THREE of those four games.
Put Dallas on the pre-season road… and give ‘em a few points to boot (as in UNDERDOG)… and a LOW-scoring game is likely to occur. The COWBOYS have gone 1-6-1 O/U since the 2010 season as preseason road UNDERDOGS…
On the flip side, San Diego tends to ALSO go under when installed as a sizable (relatively speaking) home ‘chalk’ in the pre-season. The CHARGERS have gone 2-7 O/U since 2008 as NFL ‘X’ home favorites of -3 or more points.
GAME ONE: Dallas has gone 4-10 O/U in the last 14 seasons in their FIRST game of the pre-season… with an average of only 28.9 combined points per game.
At last look, San Diego was one of the biggest favorites on the board in NFL ‘X’ Week One action. As of this writing on Thursday morning, the CHARGERS were -4 points.
NFL pre-season GAME ONE big home favorites of -4 > points with an OU line of 37 or more points (Chargers) have gone a PERFECT 0-6 O/U in the last ten seasons!
Dallas plays in the NFC East Division while San Diego resides in the AFC West Division…
1-6 O/U since 2008: All pre-season games involving teams from the AFC WEST (San Diego) and the NFC EAST (Dallas)… when the OU line is 36 or more points.
DON’T FORGET: Last year in the NFL pre-season, THURSDAY games with an OU line of 41 or less points went 4-14 O/U (78% UNDERS).
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Pick Made: Aug 13 2015 8:02AM PST