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810 Wisconsin / 809 North Carolina Under 145.0 SportsInterAction
dime bet
Analysis:There are still some 145's and it looks like that may be the apex. This one will really be a classic battle for tempo, since the Badgers want no part of running and the Tar Heels want every part of up tempo. They key here is to decipher who wins that battle, and IMO they both do at certain times, but given that this should be a close game, I expect a more methodical last five minutes, or so. What would have concerned me about taking the "over" is that the Heels are a tremendous offensive rebounding team. However, Wisconsin is without a doubt the best DEFENSIVE rebounding team they will have faced - bar none. Wisconsin was able to hold Oregon, another quick team, to 65 points, and they let the Ducks shoot 8-19 from behind the arc. First off, the Heels don't shoot a ton of three's, and secondly the Badgers have more length inside than North Carolina (or anyone for that matter). Wisconsin knows if this is up tempo they probably lose - and I trust them more to slow it down than I do the Heels to speed it up. Offensively the Badgers haven't been putting up much more than 70 points a game - yes, in part due to the pace - and the Heels are perhaps the best DEFENSIVE team THEY have faced. The Badgers want to shoot three's, and the Heels have the 13th best three point defense (efficiency) in the nation. Without complicating this even further, there are just too many ways it stays lower scoring and only one (a Heels boatrace) that it goes over. Pick Made: Mar 26 2015 9:26AM PST
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