Analysis:1* Take New York Jets –
Cincinnati UNDER (#417-418)
Every single NFL total has been bet up this week, with
wiseguys and public bettors alike pounding the Overs. The Over trend makes sense, with the league
making a point of emphasis for the refs to call defensive penalties early and
often. That’s going to make a major
difference in games where both teams are likely to be taking shots
downfield. But this isn’t one of those
games.
The Jets defense was embarrassed by Cincinnati last year in
a 49-9 loss to the Bengals, and they’ve been talking about it all week. Defensively, the Jets were rock solid in
their opener against the Colts, holding Indy to ten points, 13 first downs and
just 222 total yards (4.0 yards per play).
Bengals starting QB Andy Dalton and the first string offense
aren’t expected to play more than 15-20 snaps tonight. Behind Dalton, backup QB Jason Campbell
(elbow) isn’t expected to play. Third
stringer Mike Scott (zero NFL game action under his belt) has been limited with
a bad shoulder. That leaves ample playing time for fourth
stringer Tyler Wilson, with only three Bengals practices under his belt after
being signed earlier in the week. Expect
a steady diet of running plays from new offensive coordinator Hue Jackson,
especially after last week’s turnover filled loss in Kansas City.
Geno Smith will get the start for New York against the
Bengals elite level first string defense – a unit coming off a lousy effort --
without the benefit of big play receivers surrounding him. Michael Vick is expected to come in after
about a quarter, take some snaps with the first stringers, then play with the second
team guys. New York got just a single
field goal after halftime last week with Matt Simms behind center; all dinks
and dunks on offense. Simms will get plenty of playing time in the second half
again today. With the market bias
towards Overs, this is one game that stands out as a rock solid Under
opportunity. Take the Under.
Pick Made: Aug 16 2014 7:50AM PST