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Wed, 06/18/14 - 9:40 PM Tony George | MLB Money Line
Free pick 959 MIL (-114) William Hill vs 960 ARI
Analysis:

Milwaukee @ Arizona

 

It seemed like a set up last night and Milwaukee won as an underdog and I felt a trap line was in play but none the less put out the Brewers on my national Radio Show on Yahoo Sports and they cashed and have taken 2 straight from the D backs.  The line tonight is a manageable -114 on the Brew Crew with Matt Garza on the hill who has pitched well as of late, a 1.86 ERA in his last 3 starts over 19 innings of work.

 

I use somewhat of a power rating difference between 2 teams in MLB and my rating here is Milwaukee should be -165 in this game so we are catching a soft line here.  The reason for the soft line is the fact Milwaukee in their last 5 games have had major issues against southpaws, and Wiley tonight is a lefty but his ERA is approaching 5 in his last 3 starts and he is a hittable lefty and the bull pen ERA of Arizona is an issue late in games as well.  The D Backs have yielded 16 runs the past 2 nights to Milwaukee and will do so tonight as well, and while this may be a lower scoring game, every stat advantage including starting pitching, offense, defense, bullpen, slugging power all favor the Brewers who have the 3rd best record in baseball and show little sign of fading back to the pack anytime soon.

 

FREE Pro Pick on Milwaukee -114

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