Miami easily defeated the Sixers last night on the road with
another dominant offensive game. An offensive rating of 136 is
really impressive, especially if we have in account that their
starters didn't play that much: Lebron James and Dwayne Wade played
32 minutes, while Chris Bosh played just 25 minutes. I have no
doubts that the Cavaliers's defense has no shot in handling the
Heat's offense today. We are talking about a team that has averaged
a defensive rating of 113 over their last 10 games, while they are
#30 in the league in defending isolation plays, #23 in pick and
roll ball handler plays, #30 in post up plays and #24 in transition
plays! Miami is not only #1 in the league in overall offense, but
they are also #1, #3, #1 and #2 in these four areas respectively!
Cleveland's interior defense is also awful in protecting the rim.
They are the 3rd worst rim defense in the league and we saw that
last night against a shorthanded Magic team, where the Cavaliers
allowed 48.1% FG and 34-65 (52%) in 2pts shots and 52 points in the
paint!
The potential problem for Miami on this game is related to
their bad spot for this contest. They will be playing their fourth
game in five days, however they just pounded Philadelphia last
night and their starters played a low number of minutes, with 13
different players being on the court for the Heat last night. The
same happens with the Cavaliers on today's game. This is a back to
back game, but they dominated the Magic last night, so they were
able to rest their starters for today's game. Kyrie Irving played
only 30 minutes and he was the Cavaliers player that was more time
on the court last night! Cleveland's offense has clearly improved
on their last 10 games, especially due to the trade they have made
with Memphis, where they got Marreese Speights and Wayne Ellington,
who have been great on offense coming off the bench. The
Cavaliers's second unit is pretty decent on offense with a fast
pace mindset and this was shown yesterday where Marreese Speights,
C.J. Miles and Wayne Ellington all scored more than 15 points while
having nice shooting numbers as well.
But of course, Kyrie Irving is Cleveland's superstar and he
will be a hard tough opponent for Mario Chalmers to defend tonight.
Eventually Lebron James will check Irving during the game, but even
Lebron should struggle in defending Irving. Anyway, I believe Miami
will score so easily today that they won't need a big defensive
effort for them to beat the Cavaliers on this game. This will turn
this game into another very high scoring game involving the Heat
and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 809/810 Over 204,5 @ -110 /
1.91 on Bookmaker
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