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Thu, 04/20/17 - 9:45 PM Greg Shaker | NBA Total
triple-dime bet 714 MEM / 713 SAN Over 185.0 Pinnacle
Results: W, $300
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PLAY: Spurs/Grizzlies OVER

We work very hard finding ways to beat the Books that nobody else  is using and that the books don't know about. We have discovered something most recently (This Season) that gives us a Clear Edge with NBA Totals. That might not continue to be the case forever, but it is right now. Obviously we don't talk about what that is because doing so would diminish the Edge that we have significantly. In this case we have this game going OVER at a Very High Rate and part of that is because the Odds makers have given us such a good number. Game 2 went Under because the Grizzlies again could not score. I do think that Coach Fizdale's remarks about the officials will help our cause here and there is no doubt that Tony Allen being OUT will as well. The Home team will have better offensive ability here at Fed Ex as they have all season and we certainly can expect the Spurs to get their share of points being the 3.5 to 4 point favorites. Both teams on a couple days rest have performed well with Offensive Efficiency as well as PACE. In fact the last 7 of 8 Spurs games have gone OVER in this situation and overall these teams are a combined 17-8 OVER with 2 days rest this season. I am not sure where this number goes from here but you can find a rogue 184.5 right now if you shop hard. My best guess is that the betting number will be fairly stable in the 185 area. We are playing now..

11:20 EDT Update: This number has been hit upward but is still a play at the current number and beyond..

Pick Made: Apr 20 2017 6:23AM PST
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