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Tue, 04/18/17 - 7:10 PM Dave Cokin | MLB Total
triple-dime bet 926 CIN / 925 BAL Over 9 Pinnacle
Results: W, $300
Analysis: I'm looking to wager against Bronson Arroyo in some fashion as long as he's in the Reds rotation. I just don't think the guy can get big leaguers out on a regular basis with the assortment of way off-speed stuff he now has. He's facing a Baltimore lineup that destroys righties, and the O's that have faced Arroyo have damaged him, most notably JJ Hardy, of all people. Baltimore will pitch Kevin Gausman, who is very capable but can also have those nagging command issues. Gausman was sharp last outing against a Toronto team that isn't hitting a lick, but his control, got him in trouble in each of his first two starts. Gausman is a poor road pitcher, standing just 9-22, 4.73 in his career. Breeze forecast to be in at Cincinnati but this is still a hitter's park. Bear in mind the Baltimore bullpen just took a huge hit with the injury to the closer. It's still a strong pen, but not having the anchor is important. The Orioles deserve the chalk role here, but it's a big number and to me the Over is where the value is in this one.

Pick Made: Apr 17 2017 8:38PM PST
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