Results: L, -$330Analysis:
First off the numbers are there for both teams. Rhode Island
ranks 33rd defensively giving up 65.1 points a game. The Rams rank
No. 2 in blocked shots and No. 3 in defending against 3-pointers.
They are 26th in defensive field goal percentage. They also won't
have to worry about Chris Boucher, the Ducks' third-leading scorer
out with a torn ACL.
Oregon also surrenders just 65 points per game. The Ducks led
the nation in blocked shots while ranking 21st in defensive field
goal percentage and 25th in 3-point defense.
Numbers are numbers. They also have to fit the matchup for
them to work. That's the case here.
Rhode Island isn't skilled enough offensively to take the
attack to Oregon. The Rams are merely an average offensive team
ranking 109th in 2-point shots, 239th in 3-pointers and 287th in
free throw percentage. Oregon is too strong defensively to give the
Rams any crack at the basket via fastbreak, or by not taking care
of the basketball. So the Rams are going to have to create their
own openings and good shots. That's not their strength. They also
have a short bench. So expect the Rams to be very methodical here
taking their time in setting up their shots.
What the Rams do is play with all-out effort. They are well-coached
under Danny Hurley with a fundamentally sound defense and
underrated size. Boucher is a major loss for Oregon. He was the
Ducks' third-leading scorer, No. 2 rebounder and top shot blocker.
However, his replacement, Kavell Bigby-Williams, is 6-foot-11 and a
good shot-blocker and rebounder. So the Ducks' loss is more on
offense than defense. Another plus for the under.
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Pick Made: Mar 19 2017 12:32AM PST