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Sun, 01/08/17 - 1:05 PM Greg Shaker | NFL Total
triple-dime bet 106 PIT / 105 MIA Under 47.0 Pinnacle
Results: W, $300
Analysis: This number has been set relatively high for for an NFL Playoff Game and it has not been bet down due to a number of reasons, mainly some Trends that are being spread around that suggest and Pittsburgh plays a lot of Home Playoff Games OVER the Total. That is correct but one cannot compare what has happened years ago to what is going on now. The Steelers are a Top 10 Def Efficiency team and more so over the last 5 weeks of the season. The weather is certainly on our side for Sunday if it holds true calling for low temps and some wind. Unlike previous years Pitt Game have gone UNDER at a high rate this season, the last 3 of 4 going Over. However when we look at those 3 Overs we find they were played against Cleveland, Baltimore, and Buffalo, and in each case Pitt scored a lot of points. Of course they did. Who does not verses those teams. While Miami is not the Class of the NFL D-Wise, they make up for it not being O-Wise Worthy. The Bottom Line here is that this number is too high and UNDER will win at a High Percentage of the time. Our Models agree, all 3 of them. More details as needed leading up to game time..



Pick Made: Jan 3 2017 9:34AM PST
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