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Mon, 01/09/17 - 8:15 PM Fezzik | CFB Total
triple-dime bet 152 Alabama / 151 Clemson Under 51.5 Pinnacle
Results: L, -$330
Analysis:
NOTE< I played back more ALA -200 here at post........just too much value not to bet that!  At -215 or less I would bet ALA here.........not an official play as we are almost at post

*****************



My totals' guys made this one 48, so 3* play UNDER 51, below that make it a 2* play.

Ala has ALWAYS played games early on super conservative, I expect a low scoring start to this game as well.   The Clemson D BLEW UP the Ohio St OLine.  I expect Bama (after being criticized for trying to throw the ball) to stick with their bread and butter with Sark and run run run early in this game.

Clemson put up 40 on Bama LAST year, but I do not see that happening this year.  That Bama D is tremendous, they held down Wash, and I expect Clemson to struggle as well here.

On the side, I would LEAN to Clemson if you can get +7 (I bet +7.5 at open). However, the MLine is getting VERY cheap on ALA.   6.5 Points favorites should not be -220, yet those are popping up.  At that price I WILL have some ALA moneyline in my pocket and recommend you do as well....So I will be be "flat"ish  on this game side, likely with 2200/2000 on Clemson 7.5, and risk back $3000 or so on ALA at -220ish.....


Pick Made: Jan 2 2017 7:10PM PST
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