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Mon, 01/09/17 - 8:15 PM Rocky Atkinson | CFB Side
dime bet 151 Clemson 7.0 (-120) William Hill vs 152 Alabama
Results: W, $100
Analysis:
Clemson vs Alabama  8:00 PM EST
Play On:   Clemson +7
 
The Clemson Tigers take on the Alabama Crimson Tide in the National Championship game on Monday night at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida.  Clemson comes in with a 13-1 SU overall record this year while Alabama is a perfect 14-0 SU overall this season.  Clemson is off a dominating performance in a 31-0 win over Ohio State in their semi-final match up while Alabama beat Washington 24-7 in their semi-final match up.  I saw the Alabama offense struggle somewhat in that game and the freshman inexperience showed up several times with delay of game penalties.  While they rushed for 269 yards against Washington their passing attack only managed 57 yards.  They will not be able to run the ball that well against this Clemson defense.  Clemson held Ohio State to only 88 yards rushing and only 127 yards passing.  Deshaun Watson will be the key factor once again in this one.
 
Clemson is averaging 327.5 yards per game passing and 502.1 total yards per game this year.  Of course, the Alabama defense won't give up that much but Clemson will be able to move the ball much better than Washington did.  Clemson is 31-14 ATS last 45 games as an underdog of 3 1/2 to 10 points.  Clemson is 59-35 ATS since 1992 and 6-1 ATS last 3 years as an underdog.  Clemson is 5-1 SU and ATS last 3 years when playing on a neutral field.  Clemson is scoring 39.5 points per game overall this year, 35.1 points per game on the road this season, 43 points per game their past 3 games overall and 38.5 points per game on grass this season.  Clemson is allowing only 17.1 points per game overall this year, 16 points per game on the road this season and 14 points per game their past 3 games overall.  I'm expecting these defenses to step it up here and that means taking the underdog is the better way to go in a close game.  We'll play Clemson for 1 DIME tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky


Pick Made: Jan 1 2017 10:18AM PST
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