Results: L, -$210Analysis: 904 LA Dodgers at
left Colorado with a rain-shortened series victory and will open up
a three-game set in Cincinnati against the Reds. The series opener
features Dan Haren against Tony Cingrani. Haren's best asset is
that he doesn't walk people, but that's less of a skill when he
pitches against a team that doesn't walk. Outside of Joey Votto,
one other regular, Jay Bruce, has an above average walk rate. What
that means is that Haren induces a lot of contact and that should
benefit the Reds. In terms of Contact%, Haren ranks 10th.
For a guy
like Haren who has a home run problem, Great American Ball Park
shouldn't be a very friendly venue to pitch in. After enjoying an
April resurgence, Haren has struggled in May and June with a
combined ERA of 4.53. He has allowed 18 extra-base hits in 43.2
innings of work, including eight home runs. It's clear that Dodger
Stadium has helped Haren as his slash against at home is
.252/.281/.452 and .287/.327/.469 on the road. Balls that die at
Chavez Ravine carry in other places and that has led to a higher
batting average and a higher slugging percentage against.
hasn't had a great season, but he gets a favorable matchup here
against the league's worst offense against left-handed pitching.
The Dodgers are batting .208 as a team with a league-worst .622 OPS
against southpaws. Even though it's not Cingrani's first start
against the Dodgers, facing an unfamiliar lefty is an angle that we
like to play and that one truly favored the Reds here given the
Dodgers' struggles against them.
Pick Made: Jun 9 2014 5:38AM PST