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Sun, 06/08/14 - 1:10 PM King Creole | MLB Total
dime bet 952 CIN / 951 PHI Over 8 Southpoint
Results: L, -$110
Analysis:
1:10pm ET - 10:10am PT / #951
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES w/ Buchanan @ CINCINNATI REDS w/ Bailey
Play on: OVER the TOTAL

Working behind the dish in Cincinnati this afternoon is PAUL NAUERT. This Man in Blue comes in with a 8-3 O/U record on the year. He's the best OVER Umpire on today's Sunday MLB schedule. In National League games this season, Nauert has gone 5-1 O/U. In games in which the OU line has been 8 runs or less (like today), Nauert has gone 7-2 O/U. With the wind forecast of 'OUT to Right' in excess of 14+ MPH, we've got Mother Nature on our side as well... in addition to the strong 'OVER' Umpire.

EACH of the first two games of this Philly / Cincy series have already gone OVER the Total (11 runs yesterday / 8 runs on Friday). In fact, each of the the last FOUR games between these two teams have gone OVER this season (10.8 RPG).

David Buchanan gets the call for the visiting Phillies. He comes in off his worst outing of the season. Five days ago, he allowed 10 hits... 2 home runs... and 7 earned runs in six innings against the Washington Nationals. His ERA on the season is 6.11. And on the road, his ERA for the year is 10.50.

Making the start for the host Reds is Homer Bailey. He's been an OVER 'machine' on the season... going 9-3 O/U in his 12 starts with an ERA of 4.99. He's already faced the Phillies once this year, and got bombed. In that May start, he went only 3.2 innings... allowed 7 hits and 6 earned runs (a loss of 12 to 1). He's also gone a nearly perfect 5-1 O/U in his home starts this year.

The PHILLIES come in as one of the best OVER teams on the season. And in their last 10 road games, Philly has gone 7-2-1 O/U. They've gone a perfect 5-0 O/U as road dogs of +150 or less... 5-1-1 O/U in their last 7 versus losing teams... 7-2-1 O/U after scoring 5+ runs in their last game... 6-2-1 O/U in Game Three of a series... and 6-2 O/U in their last 8 versus right-handed starters.

The REDS have gone 6-1 O/U in their last 7 versus the National League East Division... 4-1 O/U in their last five home fav roles... 4-1-1 O/U when the OU line is 7-8.5 runs... and 4-1 O/U versus starters with a WHIP of > 1.30.


Pick Made: Jun 8 2014 7:58AM PST
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