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Goodfella | today's note
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Sun, 06/08/14 - 8:10 PM Greg Shaker | NBA Total
triple-dime bet 704 SAN / 703 MIA Under 199.0 Sportsbook.ag
Results: W, $300
Analysis: This number is anywhere from 198.5 to 199.5 so we are posting the average number here which is available at a number of books. The Spurs shot Light's Out in game #1 and that Total went Over fairly easily. Are they really going to hit near 59% from the court and 52% of their 3 Point shots tonight? That is highly unlikely and there are some situational factors here as well including the fact that Game #2's in any NBA Series most always see lower pace, better D adjustments, and lower scoring due to that. This is still a Bargain Number for these teams in this spot based on history between the two and the history of the NBA Finals. We could have gotten a better number when limits were lower but I always wait until that becomes more widely available which is is now. This is an easy 3% decision for us for tonight's contest and that is what we are playing. We can look for the Heat to adjust to a lineup throughout this contest to limit the Spurs chances of getting the wide open shots from outside as we saw in Game #1. Let's playing this hard..

Pick Made: Jun 8 2014 7:18AM PST
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