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Scott Spreitzer | today's note
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Sun, 06/08/14 - 8:10 PM Scott Spreitzer | NBA Sides
triple-dime bet 703 MIA 4.5 (-110) William Hill vs 704 SAN
Results: W, $300
Analysis: I'm taking the points with the Miami Heat on Sunday. Miami is on a 12-0 SU run off postseason loss since the 2012 playoffs and understand the significance of falling behind 2-0 in this series. They also understand they need a more focused effort from start to finish. Erik Spoelstra has said on numerous occasions that his team wins basketball games when Mario Chalmers plays at a high level. Besides the LeBron cramping issue in Game 1, the negative no one mentions is that Chalmers was whistled for five personal fouls in just 13 minutes of game time. Chalmers never got into a rhythm and never had a chance to get involved in the flow of the game. Obviously, the most important issue was the severe cramps that drove James from the game. LeBron had already stopped attacking on the offensive end before leaving the game in the fourth quarter. At the time, the Heat led the Spurs, outright. He came back a few minutes later, but for only a matter of seconds. And with James sidelined, the Spurs pulled away to the win. A healthy James and Game 1 was a 50-50 affair. In fact, Miami led 88-84 with 6 1/2 minutes to go in the game before the Spurs ended on a 26-7 run with James on the bench. LeBron is expected to be fine with two days off between games and I believe the situation in Game 1, the barrage by media and fans alike will simply have "poked the bear." I look for a big game out of James, which means a big game out of Wade & Bosh, also likely. Miami is on a 4-0 ATS run off a SU loss and they're on a 23-9 ATS run off a loss by more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Spurs have covered just 3 of their last 10 with two days rest between games. And finally, Miami has out-scored their opponents by an average of 101-91 the last 40 times in same season revenge. I'm grabbing the points with the Miami Heat, my Sunday Night Tapout! Thanks & Good Luck! Scott Spreitzer.

Pick Made: Jun 7 2014 2:16AM PST
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