Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
sleepyj | today's note
NFL - SUNDAY / 3*** BLAST"Red Hot Bomb" NFL 4-0 Run !! $6.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
TRIPLE DIME SUNDAY NIGHT BIG BETBIG PLAY ALERT NFL SUNDAY NIGHT $17.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
3*** Rock Solid CBB Sunday 3* at 165-113 ..60%.. Sunday's Best $22.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
MNF NFL DOUBLE HEADER!2* SIDE, AND at least 2 solid props $29.00 (for Monday) Add to Cart
Bulk Dollars | see more
$300 gets you $500 40% Bonus on Your Money! $500.00 $300.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
2-Play NBA/CBB DOUBLE-HEADER!6-1-1, 86% NBA Run! $25.00 Add to Cart
Teddy Covers | today's note
Last Chance CBB thru March Madness!Price Will NEVER Be This Low Again! $849.00 $595.00 Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
Last Chance CBB thru March Madness!Price Will NEVER Be This Low Again! $749.00 $495.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
GOODFELLA 7-DAY ALL ACCESS PACKAGE106-61 (64%) GOW WIN STREAK $119.00 Add to Cart
Ken Thomson | today's note
Last Chance CBB thru March Madness!Price Will NEVER Be This Low Again! $749.00 $495.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
Last Chance CBB thru March Madness!Price Will NEVER Be This Low Again! $749.00 $495.00 Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
Last Chance CBB thru March Madness!Price Will NEVER Be This Low Again! $749.00 $495.00 Add to Cart
Bryan Leonard | today's note
Bryan's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $149.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
Last Chance CBB thru March Madness!Price Will NEVER Be This Low Again! $749.00 $495.00 Add to Cart
Tony George | today's note
Tony's 7 Day ALL ACCESS Package Saves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Thu, 06/05/14 - 7:05 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 906 CHC (-110) 5Dimes vs 905 NYM
Results: W, $200
Analysis:
906 NY Mets at Chicago Cubs

Jacob deGrom will make his second career road start on Thursday evening at Wrigley Field. He'll be opposed by Travis Wood. deGrom enjoyed his three starts at pitcher-friendly Citi Field, allowing just four earned runs in three starts. In his first road start against the Phillies, deGrom struck out 11, but allowed three runs. Early in his career, deGrom's fastball has been an extreme fly ball pitch, which will work against him in road starts. Hitters have taken a patient approach to deGrom in his first four starts and that has led to a 12 percent walk rate.

Thus far, deGrom has been rather fortunate with batted ball luck, in part because of having three out of four starts at Citi Field. His line drive rate is north of 25 percent, so a .203 BABIP doesn't appear to be hanging around for long. In the minors, deGrom gave up more than one hit per inning, so 16 hits in 26 innings is likely a mirage.

Travis Wood is a guy that absolutely deserves a better fate than the one he has experienced so far this season. Wood has an ugly 5.15 ERA but a 3.83 FIP, a 4.06 xFIP, and a 3.86 SIERA. Something brought up by Joe Peta in Trading Bases - the concept of clusterluck - has not been on Wood's side. With the bases empty, opposing batters have a .228/.286/.329 slash line. With men on base, hitters are enjoying a .304/.379/.500 slash. In his career, Wood has been slightly worse from the stretch, but not by that dramatic of a margin. Those numbers should balance out very soon.

Consider that Wood is posting the second-best strikeout rate of his career and has lowered his walk rate from last season. Last year the batted ball luck was on his side. This year, it hasn't been. But his line drive rate is lower. With more strikeouts, fewer line drives, and advanced metrics suggesting improvement, Wood is due for a few good outings.

The Mets are 20th in OPS and 22nd in SLG against left-handed pitching. They are just 6-6 against lefties on the year. We've isolated the Cubs as a team that should be on the rise given their bullpen stability, Pythagorean Win-Loss record, and rotation that has pitched better than ERA would indicate. We'll take them again here in a spot where they should have success.

PLAY: CHICAGO CUBS



Pick Made: Jun 5 2014 5:30AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.