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Tue, 06/03/14 - 7:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet 924 Mia (+100) Pinnacle vs 923 TAM
Results: W, $300
Analysis: Tampa Bay at Miami

The in-state interleague series continues between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins on Tuesday night. The Rays, who have lost 11 of their last 16, will look to Chris Archer to stop the bleeding and the Marlins will counter with Henderson Alvarez. In six May starts, Archer completed six innings only twice and opposing hitters posted a .363 OBP against him. One of the biggest problems for the Rays this season has been their bullpen and they've been forced to go to it early in the bulk of Archer's starts this season.

The Rays fell to 11-21 away from home with Monday night's loss and have scored just 95 runs in those 32 games. Their normally patient approach was lacking in May as they finished 15th in BB%. Their lineup is not filled with guys capable of hitting for a high average, so walking is imperative.

Which is part of why we like Henderson Alvarez in this matchup. He pitches to contact and doesn't walk many batters, which is sure to affect the Rays' chances of scoring runs. In 34 home innings this season, Alvarez has a 1.85 ERA and a 4.6 percent walk rate. With a team like that the Rays that has been awful offensively on the road, this should be a fine matchup for Alvarez.

Not only are the Rays struggling on the field, but things have to be shaky in the clubhouse as well. There aren't a lot of high-character players on the team and there will be a lot of uncertainty in the clubhouse because of the way the Rays operate by trading away their impending free agents to restock the farm system. Trades are a definite possibility and there are some uncomfortable players in that clubhouse that are letting the situation affect them.


Pick Made: Jun 3 2014 5:52AM PST
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