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sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: Boston College at Florida St.
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Free Pick: Wisconsin at Iowa
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Free Pick: Detroit at New England
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Andy Iskoe | today's note
Free Pick: Northwestern at Purdue
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Mon, 06/02/14 - 7:05 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 964 PHI (-108) 5Dimes vs 963 NYM
Results: L, -$216
Analysis: 964 NY Mets at Philadelphia

A couple former Indians will square off on Monday night at Citizens Bank Park when Bartolo Colon and the Mets take on Roberto Hernandez and the Phillies. A start at Citizens Bank Park is likely to be a tough one for Colon, who sports a 6.51 ERA and a slash line against of .315/.345/.515 on the road this season. The ball carries very well at Citizens Bank Park and Colon is definitely susceptible to allowing home runs because he throws so many fastballs and so many strikes. In 37.1 road innings, Colon has allowed seven home runs. With balmy conditions expected in Philadelphia the ball should carry well.

Roberto Hernandez set a career-high in strikeout rate last season and he has continued to miss bats this season. His swinging strike rate is the highest of his career as a starter and his ground ball rate remains the same. One of the big keys for Hernandez's season has been his effectiveness from the stretch. He does have some problems with his delivery and throwing from the stretch simplifies it. With the bases empty, batters are hitting .294/.369/.477, but just .219/.336/.343 with men on base. That will be a big key in this game because the Phillies should stay in the game while their bats get to take some hacks against Colon in a hitter's park, something he has not had success with recently.

PLAY: PHILADELPHIA


Pick Made: Jun 2 2014 5:10AM PST
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