Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Fezzik | today's note
MNF COMPLETE PACKAGE10 straight winning days, go for 11 $25.00 Add to Cart
Bulk Dollars | see more
$300 gets you $500 40% Bonus on Your Money! $500.00 $300.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | see more
GOODFELLA 7-DAY ALL ACCESS PACKAGEALL PLAYS - ALL SPORTS $119.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
Dave's 7 Day All Access PackageUp over 70 Units This Year ! $119.00 $89.00 Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
Stephen's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $149.00 Add to Cart
Bryan Leonard | today's note
Bryan's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $149.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Jr's 2* MNF Side/1* MNF O/u .... 2* Jet's /Chi MNF + 1* O/u Bonus $18.00 Add to Cart
Dr. Ed Meyer | today's note
Dr. Ed's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
Greg's 7 Day ALL ACCESS packageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
SPARTANS 7 DAY ALL ACCESS PACKAGESaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
Tony George | see more
Tony's 7 Day ALL ACCESS Package Saves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
Brady Kannon | see more
Monday Night Football6-and-2 MNF Last Season $19.00 (for Monday) Add to Cart
Dollar-A-Day | see more
5-Pros: 5 Premium Picks DailyLess than $1 a Day! $1 Week Trial! $29.00 $1.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
3* MORNING MASSACRE TOPS THURS! Swept Wednesday!
Teddy Covers | today's note
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Sun, 06/01/14 - 4:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 910 ARI (-123) 5Dimes vs 909 CIN
Results: L, -$246
Analysis: 910 Cincinnati at Arizona

A start after struggling against the Dodgers, Alfredo Simon's regression train makes a stop in Phoenix as the Reds wrap up a weekend set against the Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks will send Wade Miley to the hill against Simon. Simon has a 2.90 ERA but a 4.78 FIP, a 4.31 xFIP, and a 4.36 SIERA. He has stranded nearly 86 percent of opposing baserunners with a well below average strikeout rate and an average defense.

The Diamondbacks came around offensively in the month of May, ranking 13th in wOBA and sixth among National League teams. Their awful start to the season has made for a tough hole to climb out of, but the Diamondbacks have mostly been a .500 team since ending May at 9-22 and they're still being priced like they're playing poorly. With an advantage in the pitching matchup, this is a good value on them.

Wade Miley has run into some bad luck this season. His strikeout rate is the highest of his career, but his HR/FB rate has gone up and has affected his ERA. Miley has a 4.76 ERA, which is skewing the oddsmakers' perception of him. His FIP is 4.22 and his xFIP is 3.65. With a SIERA of 3.78, Miley is pitching about a full run better than his ERA would indicate. He made big strides from April to May in terms of limiting extra base hits, so we're confident that his command has improved and with it, his stat line will improve as well.

The Reds were 29th in wOBA last month and they don't walk, which makes both getting baserunners and scoring runs far more difficult than it is for most teams. The Reds entered play on Saturday 29th in batting average and 30th in on-base percentage against lefties. They are 28 percent below league average against lefties this season.

The Diamondbacks have an enormous advantage in this matchup and this line should be higher than it is.

PLAY: ARIZONA



Pick Made: Jun 1 2014 4:27AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.