Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Dave Essler | today's note
* MLB AL Game of the Week * - 22-10 (68%) GOW Run - $24.00 $1.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
MLB 3* DOMINATOR GAME OF THE MONTHGOING FOR 8th STRAIGHT (3*) WINNER! $28.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
Free Pick: Cleveland at Kansas City
3* CFL THURSDAY NIGHT KNOCKOUT!4-0 w/ KO's This Season! $25.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
CFL WEEKEND BEST BETSat Night, BEST BET of the WEEKEND $25.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
Free Pick: Texas at New York
STEPHEN'S DOUBLE DIME DOUBLE 'DOGS 3-0 Past 3 Plus Prices; 2 Top 'Dogs $25.00 Add to Cart
Bryan Leonard | see more
MLB Grand Slam 10-4 Grand Slam Run! $25.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Texas at New York
MLB 2nd Half All-AccessGuaranteed Lowest Price! $799.00 $349.00 Add to Cart
Dr. Ed Meyer | see more
Dr. Ed's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
MLB 2nd Half All-AccessGuaranteed Lowest Price! $799.00 $349.00 Add to Cart
Andr√© Gomes | today's note
MLB 2nd Half All-AccessGuaranteed Lowest Price! $799.00 $349.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
Free Pick: Cleveland at Kansas City
MLB 2nd Half All-AccessGuaranteed Lowest Price! $799.00 $349.00 Add to Cart
Tony George | today's note
Free Pick: New York at Milwaukee
MLB 2nd Half All-AccessGuaranteed Lowest Price! $799.00 $349.00 Add to Cart
Brady Kannon | see more
MLB 2nd Half All-AccessGuaranteed Lowest Price! $799.00 $349.00 Add to Cart
Dwayne Bryant | see more
MLB 2nd Half All-AccessGuaranteed Lowest Price! $799.00 $349.00 Add to Cart
King Creole | see more
MLB 2nd Half All-AccessGuaranteed Lowest Price! $799.00 $349.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Tue, 05/27/14 - 7:05 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 963 TAM (+107) 5Dimes vs 964 TOR
Results: L, -$200
Analysis: 963 Tampa Bay at Toronto

Alex Cobb will make his second start after returning from the DL against regression candidate Mark Buehrle. Cobb is a tremendous pitcher that has had trouble staying healthy and fully meeting his potential over the course of an entire season. Against the Jays, Cobb has a favorable matchup. Entering play on Monday, righties had accounted for 120 of the 174 extra-base hits by Blue Jays hitters. Out of 613 righties faced, Cobb has allowed just 30 extra-base hits. That has led to a SLG against of just .311.

Out of 181 pitchers with at least 140 innings against just right-handed hitters since 2011, Cobb's .273 wOBA against is tied for the 14th-best. For his career, over 75 percent of plate appearances have ended in either a strikeout or a ground ball. Keeping the ball down is another way to neutralize a Blue Jays lineup that lives off of extra-base hits. Cobb does that and this should be a great matchup for him.

Mark Buehrle is undoubtedly due regression. His SIERA of 4.30 is right in line with his career 4.39 SIERA, yet he has a 2.16 ERA. He is having the best year of his career in terms of limiting home runs and that number is so low that it's completely unsustainable. Without the ability to strike out hitters, baserunners will start coming around to score off of Buehrle. His LOB% is 81.1 percent. He's always been above average for a low-strikeout pitcher, but never higher than 75.7 percent.

Buehrle has that 2.16 ERA but a 3.14 FIP and a 4.05 xFIP. His career HR/FB% is 9.8 percent and this season it's just three percent. That's a lot of batted ball luck and for a guy that pitches to contact and throws a lot of strikes, the only way that number will go is up.

The recent play of the Jays has given us plenty of value on the Rays in this spot, especially with Cobb's skill set matching up well against the Jays lineup.

PLAY: TAMPA BAY


Pick Made: May 27 2014 4:42AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.