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Mon, 05/26/14 - 8:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 912 LOS (-114) Pinnacle vs 911 CIN
Results: W, $200
Analysis: 912 Cincinnati at LA Dodgers

After playing the late game on Saturday night, the Cincinnati Reds will fly out to Los Angeles to take the Dodgers at 5:10 p.m. local time. That will be a quick turnaround for the Reds and they are really scuffling offensively with 66 runs in 21 games this month. Johnny Cueto, who was hit with some of the regression coming his way, in his last start will take the mound for the Reds. Cueto has a 1.86 ERA but a 2.88 FIP and a 2.67 xFIP. Up until his last start, Cueto was stranding 99.5 percent of runners on base. That number fell to 83.3 percent and it has a little bit more falling to do, as does Cueto's .178 BABIP against. He's a good pitcher, but nobody has been able to sustain numbers like that since the dead-ball era.

The Reds also draw a tough customer in Hyun-jin Ryu. Ryu returned to the rotation on May 21 with strikeout stuff but fought with his command a little bit allowing nine hits to the Mets. We expect him to be much sharper this time out. The Reds rank dead last in wRC+ against left-handers this season, coming in at 22 percent below average. Their .656 OPS is tied for the third-worst mark in the league. The Reds are also a terrible road offense, coming in 29th out of 30 teams with a .633 OPS.

With the brutal travel spot for the Reds, Cueto's impending regression, and the awful time the Reds have against left-handers, the Dodgers are a strong play on Monday evening.


Pick Made: May 26 2014 4:24AM PST
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