Results: L, -$204Analysis:
Washington at Pittsburgh
Zimmermann will take the hill for the Nationals on Friday night
against Charlie Morton and the Pirates. These two pitchers should
move in separate directions statistically following this start.
Zimmermann has been strong again this season, improving his
strikeout rate and maintaining an elite walk rate. Zimmermann made
a slight change to his repertoire to rely on the fastball more and
throw fewer sliders. The difference has been noticeable, as his
elite command has led to more swings and misses in the strike zone
instead of having to rely on hitters fishing for the slider.
over the 10 percent mark in swinging strike rate for the first time
in his career. He trails only David Price and CC Sabathia in
first-pitch strike percentage and is one of just four pitchers at
70 percent or higher. Zimmermann has a 3.70 ERA, which is decent,
but his 3.11 FIP, 3.33 FIP, and 3.39 SIERA suggest that he should
be even better. His BABIP against is .367, which is 74 points
higher than his career average. That number will come down and with
it so will his ERA.
Morton has traded ground balls for line drives and fly balls and
that's not a good thing for a pitcher with his skill level and
repertoire. Thanks to some fortunate batted ball luck, Morton has a
.281 BABIP against, 33 points below his career average. His ERA of
3.45 should climb as indicated by a 3.87 FIP, a 4.10 xFIP, and a
4.03 SIERA. Morton has experienced a drop in velocity that has led
to more contact and that's not a good development for a journeyman
like Morton with mediocre stuff.
Pick Made: May 23 2014 5:24AM PST