Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
sleepyj | today's note
"Monday Night Blitz" ! / +MNF Bonus"This One Get The Money Tonight" $5.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
MNF NFL DOUBLE HEADER!2* SIDE, AND at least 2 solid props $29.00 Add to Cart
Ken Thomson | today's note
Early Monday Matinee CBB play CBB Offensive Mis-Match! $12.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
MONDAY COLLEGE SLAM DUNK WINNER!2013 Plus 48 Units College Hoops! $25.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
* CBB Late Night Bailout Bomb * - Super Strong Triple Dime - $12.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL (3*) GOMOFF AFC 3* GOM WIN + 65% GOM STREAK $23.00 Add to Cart
Bulk Dollars | see more
$300 gets you $500 40% Bonus on Your Money! $500.00 $300.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
Free Pick: Los Angeles at Charlotte
NFL MONDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN!6-1, 86% L7 Monday Night Sides! $25.00 Add to Cart
Teddy Covers | today's note
Last Day! CBB thru March Madness!Price Will NEVER Be This Low Again! $849.00 $595.00 Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
Last Day! CBB thru March Madness!Price Will NEVER Be This Low Again! $749.00 $495.00 Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
MONDAY NFL/NBA 2-FOR-1 SWEEP71% MNF Run; 21-10 L31 NBA Plays! $25.00 Add to Cart
Bryan Leonard | today's note
Bryan's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $149.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Los Angeles at Charlotte
3*** Monday Nt CBB Tourney Jam167-113 3* run 60% & + 69 Units $22.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
Last Day! CBB thru March Madness!Price Will NEVER Be This Low Again! $749.00 $495.00 Add to Cart
Tony George | today's note
Tony's 7 Day ALL ACCESS Package Saves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Wed, 05/21/14 - 7:05 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 977 BAL (+101) 5Dimes vs 978 PIT
Results: L, -$200
Analysis:
977 Baltimore at Pittsburgh

We've had success betting against Wandy Rodriguez so far this season and we'll look to continue that trend when the Pirates host Chris Tillman and the Orioles on Wednesday night. After a stint on the disabled list for a knee injury, Rodriguez came back to throw five decent innings against the Brewers. After the game, Rodriguez told the media that his knee is still not 100 percent. His velocity returned after the DL stint, but his command did not as he allowed two more home runs and continued to pitch up in the zone at an alarming rate.

This season, 218 out of 388 pitches have been belt high or above from Rodriguez according to PITCHf/x data. With a guy like Rodriguez that sits in the upper 80s without a lot of deception, 56 percent of pitches up in the zone is a disastrous number. Hitters are posting an OPS of no worse than .780 against Rodriguez's four pitches. Nothing is working for him and we don't expect that to stop against a dangerous Orioles lineup.

Chris Tillman may lobby for a trade to Pittsburgh after this start. Tillman's problem has always been the home run, which tends to elevate his FIP and make it seem like regression is coming. However, Tillman outpitched his advanced metrics in 2012 and 2013 and is doing it again so far in 2014. This season, Tillman is throwing fewer cut fastballs and throwing more changeups and sliders to help with his ground ball rate. The changes have led to a drop in strikeouts and an increase in walks, but those should normalize throughout the season. The important thing is that hitters are barreling up Tillman less often with a three percent drop in line drives and a four percent drop in HR/FB%.

PNC Park should play into what Tillman wants to do and he's made it clear that the only way to score off of him is the long ball with batting averages against of .205, .238, and .231 over the last three seasons. Rodriguez still isn't healthy and there's absolutely no reason that he should be a favorite or even close to it against a decent team.

PLAY: BALTIMORE


Pick Made: May 21 2014 4:58AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.