Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Ken Thomson | today's note
CFB 3 STAR GAME OF THE YEAR!( 11-5 ) SO FAR ON CFB! $25.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
Free Pick: S. Carolina at Kentucky
COLLEGE TRIPLE BLOCKBUSTER!Documented 72% Winners! $29.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
THURSDAY FOOTBALL PackageGet EVERY Thursday Play I make! $25.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
TRIPLE STAR THURS NFL CRUSHERStrongest Thurs Play! 71% NFL Run! $29.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: Baylor at Texas
CFB -Thurs / "Line Crusher" Play !!Take Advantage Of This Number !! $5.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
Free Pick: Michigan at Rutgers
EARLY: 3* CFB Best BetGoing for 5th Straight 3* Cash! $19.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
THURSDAY NIGHT CFB TOTAL DOMINATOR6-1 FOOTBALL TOTALS WIN STREAK $20.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Rocky Atkinson | today's note
Rocky's NFL TRIPLE DIME MONSTER16-2 89% football run! 77% NFL TY! $25.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Dollar-A-Day | see more
5-Pros: 5 Premium Picks DailyLess than $1 a Day! $1 Week Trial! $29.00 $1.00 Add to Cart
Bryan Leonard | see more
Free Pick: Navy at Air Force
Thursday TV Smack Down Watch & Win $25.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Bulk Dollars | see more
$300 gets you $500 40% Bonus on Your Money! $500.00 $300.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
Free Pick: Navy at Air Force
CFB THURSDAY NIGHT KNOCKOUT!4-0, 100% TY! $20.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Goodfella | see more
Last Day! MLB thru World SeriesGuaranteed Lowest Price! $129.00 $99.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
Last Day! MLB thru World SeriesPrice Never This Low Again! $129.00 $99.00 Add to Cart
Teddy Covers | today's note
Tigers vs Orioles Early Start Cash63% MLB Run Since August $15.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Wed, 05/21/14 - 7:05 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 977 BAL (+101) 5Dimes vs 978 PIT
Results: L, -$200
Analysis:
977 Baltimore at Pittsburgh

We've had success betting against Wandy Rodriguez so far this season and we'll look to continue that trend when the Pirates host Chris Tillman and the Orioles on Wednesday night. After a stint on the disabled list for a knee injury, Rodriguez came back to throw five decent innings against the Brewers. After the game, Rodriguez told the media that his knee is still not 100 percent. His velocity returned after the DL stint, but his command did not as he allowed two more home runs and continued to pitch up in the zone at an alarming rate.

This season, 218 out of 388 pitches have been belt high or above from Rodriguez according to PITCHf/x data. With a guy like Rodriguez that sits in the upper 80s without a lot of deception, 56 percent of pitches up in the zone is a disastrous number. Hitters are posting an OPS of no worse than .780 against Rodriguez's four pitches. Nothing is working for him and we don't expect that to stop against a dangerous Orioles lineup.

Chris Tillman may lobby for a trade to Pittsburgh after this start. Tillman's problem has always been the home run, which tends to elevate his FIP and make it seem like regression is coming. However, Tillman outpitched his advanced metrics in 2012 and 2013 and is doing it again so far in 2014. This season, Tillman is throwing fewer cut fastballs and throwing more changeups and sliders to help with his ground ball rate. The changes have led to a drop in strikeouts and an increase in walks, but those should normalize throughout the season. The important thing is that hitters are barreling up Tillman less often with a three percent drop in line drives and a four percent drop in HR/FB%.

PNC Park should play into what Tillman wants to do and he's made it clear that the only way to score off of him is the long ball with batting averages against of .205, .238, and .231 over the last three seasons. Rodriguez still isn't healthy and there's absolutely no reason that he should be a favorite or even close to it against a decent team.

PLAY: BALTIMORE


Pick Made: May 21 2014 4:58AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.