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Tue, 05/20/14 - 7:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Total
double-dime bet 916 TAM / 915 OAK Over 8 Westgate
Results: L, -$200
Analysis:
915 Oakland at Tampa Bay

Drew Pomeranz and Jake Odorizzi will face off against lineups that aren't particularly good matchups. Pomeranz, who was sent to the bullpen for his troubles with righties and control problems, will take on a Rays lineup that ranks fifth on the season in BB%. Because he started out the season in relief, Pomeranz has been on pitch counts and has managed only five innings in his two starts. The Rays are going to build up his pitch count and that could mean an early exit for Pomeranz.

Similarly, control concerns will come into play for Jake Odorizzi. Odorizzi has 44 strikeouts in 38.2 innings but also has walked 18 and comes into this start with a 1.55 WHIP. The Athletics utilize platoon advantages, which means that they will stack the lineup with left-handed bats. This season, lefties are batting .287/.350/.478 with a .359 wOBA against Odorizzi. Lefties have been a problem for Odorizzi throughout his pro career.

Furthermore, Odorizzi is having big problems the second and third time through the lineup. Since the Athletics will work counts the first time through and see everything Odorizzi has to offer, those problems could be exacerbated. The second time through hitters are batting .383/.443/.600/1.043 and the third time through hitters are batting .423/.484/.692/1.176.

Both teams should be forced into their bullpens early and both starters will have trouble against patient lineups that are not good matchups.

PLAY: OAK/TB OVER


Pick Made: May 20 2014 5:30AM PST
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