Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Spartan | today's note
NFL MONDAY NIGHT MAGIC!Two Time NFL Handicapping Champ! $25.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
MLB MONDAY NIGHT KNOCKOUT!11-3 & 34-13 MLB Runs! $20.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
MNF COMPLETE PACKAGE10 straight winning days, go for 11 $25.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | see more
GOODFELLA 7-DAY ALL ACCESS PACKAGEALL PLAYS - ALL SPORTS $119.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | see more
Dave's 7 Day All Access PackageUp over 70 Units This Year ! $119.00 $89.00 Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
Stephen's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $149.00 Add to Cart
Bryan Leonard | today's note
Bryan's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $149.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Seattle at Toronto
Jr's 2* MNF Side/1* MNF O/u .... 2* Jet's /Chi MNF + 1* O/u Bonus $18.00 Add to Cart
Dr. Ed Meyer | today's note
Dr. Ed's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
Greg's 7 Day ALL ACCESS packageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
Tony George | see more
Tony's 7 Day ALL ACCESS Package Saves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
Brady Kannon | see more
Monday Night Football6-and-2 MNF Last Season $19.00 Add to Cart
King Creole | see more
NFL Monday OU WINNERJETS versus BEARS! $23.00 Add to Cart
Dollar-A-Day | see more
5-Pros: 5 Premium Picks DailyLess than $1 a Day! $1 Week Trial! $29.00 $1.00 Add to Cart
Bulk Dollars | see more
$300 gets you $500 40% Bonus on Your Money! $500.00 $300.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Fri, 05/16/14 - 7:05 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 906 PHI (+100) 5Dimes vs 905 CIN
Results: L, -$200
Analysis:
906 Cincinnati at Philadelphia

Regression remains on the horizon for Alfredo Simon when he and the Reds travel to Philadelphia following a doubleheader to take on Kyle Kendrick and the Phillies. Simon is still due for regression with a 2.89 ERA, a 5.14 FIP, a 4.49 xFIP, and a 4.66 SIERA. Simon has faced 45 batters since he last struck one out, making two starts, against Milwaukee and Colorado, without a strikeout. The last three batters he faced in his start against the Cubs also put balls in play. Simon has started to work up in the zone more as hitters have made contact with over 92 percent of pitches outside the zone in his last two starts. Without hitters chasing and missing, Simon's margin for error is extremely slim. He's allowed allowed five home runs over his last two starts.

With the home runs, Simon's BABIP of .211 is actually lower than his batting average against at .216. Ground balls will start finding holes and if balls keep leaving the yard, that increases the chances of multi-run homers. Teams are getting better advance reports on Simon and it's showing as his swinging strike rate dwindles. Regression should continue in this outing and the Reds just played a doubleheader. Even though Johnny Cueto threw a complete game in Game 1, Simon will be expected to provide length and will have to work through any issues, which could lead to a really terrible stat line.

Kyle Kendrick is pitching about as well as you would expect. He's a pitch-to-contact ground ball guy with an ERA around 4.00 and his xFIP and SIERA project him in that range. His HR/FB rate is three percent above his career average, so that should come down and with it, his ERA and FIP will come down.

With a road game following a doubleheader and the advanced metrics painting a pessimistic picture of Simon's start, we'll take the Phillies here and trust in the numbers.

PLAY: PHILADELPHIA



Pick Made: May 16 2014 4:42AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.