Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Dave Cokin | today's note
Free Pick: Kansas City at Los Angeles
$1 Special: CFB Total of the Week!10-3 College Football Win Streak $25.00 $1.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
THURSDAY NIGHT CFB TOTAL DOMINATOR6-1 FOOTBALL TOTALS WIN STREAK $20.00 Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: St. Louis at Los Angeles
CFB -Thurs / "Line Crusher" Play !!Take Advantage Of This Number !! $5.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
THURSDAY FOOTBALL PackageGet EVERY Thursday Play I make! $25.00 Add to Cart
Ken Thomson | today's note
CFB 3 STAR GAME OF THE YEAR!( 11-5 ) SO FAR ON CFB! $25.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
3* THURS NFL CRUSHER PLUS PROPS71% NFL Run! Unbeaten on Props! $29.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
Free Pick: Navy at Air Force
CFB THURSDAY NIGHT KNOCKOUT!4-0, 100% TY! $20.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
* All-Access (3*) Dime "Big Bet" *65% "Big Bet" Winning Percentage $20.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Teddy Covers | today's note
Tigers vs Orioles Early Start Cash63% MLB Run Since August $15.00 Add to Cart
Bryan Leonard | see more
Free Pick: Navy at Air Force
Thursday TV Smack Down Watch & Win $25.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Detroit at Baltimore
3* Under the Thursday CFB Lights 133-87 3* run 3* Ncaaf Oct 2nd $22.00 Add to Cart
King Creole | see more
NFL Thursday OVER / UNDER WinnerThursday NFL + CFB plays: 6-0 ATS! $26.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
Free Pick: S. Carolina at Kentucky
COLLEGE TRIPLE BLOCKBUSTER!Documented 72% Winners! $29.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Brady Kannon | see more
ALDS Game One + Thursday Night CFBTwo For The Price of One $19.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | see more
GOODFELLA 7-DAY ALL ACCESS PACKAGE90-51 (64%) GAME OF WEEK WIN STREAK $119.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Wed, 05/14/14 - 8:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 908 MIL (-118) 5Dimes vs 907 PIT
Results: L, -$236
Analysis:
908 Pittsburgh at Milwaukee

There are some concerning injury red flags in Francisco Liriano's profile that may have an impact against a team like the Brewers. Liriano has seen a drop in velocity and control this season. Liriano has a walk rate above 11 percent and has seen his strikeout rate drop 2.3 percent from last season. One of the biggest indicators for us is that Liriano is throwing fewer sliders this season and has replaced them with change-ups. Sliders are one of the most detrimental pitches for a pitcher to throw and for a guy with past elbow trouble to be using his slider less is a concern.

For this start specifically, there are some negative trends that could be extremely hurtful at Miller Park. Liriano has replaced some of his ground balls with fly balls. After allowing nine home runs in 161 innings last season, he has already allowed five in 42.2 innings this season. Miller Park is one of the top hitter's parks in baseball and Liriano seems to be having trouble commanding his pitches down in the zone. Righties have hit four of the five home runs and have a 1.67 K/BB ratio against Liriano this season. The Brewers right-handed heavy lineup could have a field day off of Liriano.

Wily Peralta throws a lot of strikes, pitches to contact, and uses the above average defense behind him. His walk rate is bordering on elite at 4.7 percent. He still sits 95 with both his four-seamer and two-seamer and has replaced some of the change-ups he used to throw with more two-seamers. That makes him more efficient and it helps him in the sense that he doesn't have to rely on hitters chasing pitches to get outs. He's throwing more pitches in the zone and that's clearly having an impact on his season. His home run rate will start to trend downward with a bigger sample size and the adjustments to his repertoire to eliminate most of his walks still appears to be undervalued by the oddsmakers.

PLAY: MILWAUKEE


Pick Made: May 14 2014 4:37AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.