Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Goodfella | today's note
NBA (3*) TRIPLE DIME GAME OF MONTHBIGGEST PLAY of NBA SEASON SO FAR! $25.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
*CBB (3*) MVC GOM--Free Super Bowl*NBA GOM Win Friday - Smoking Hot! $26.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
TRIPLE COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK!Plus 277 Units All Time! $28.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
Free Pick: Houston at Detroit
3* CBB AFTERNOON ANNIHILATOR GOY!4-0, 100% This Season! $25.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Georgetown at Creighton
Big 12 Conference 3* CBB Gm Of YEARSaturday's BIG 12 3* CBB Monster !! $29.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
TRIPLE DIME CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK126-75 GOW WIN STREAK--BONUS PLAYS $22.00 Add to Cart
Bryan Leonard | today's note
College Hoops Game of the Week RARE 3 UNIT PLAY! $25.00 Add to Cart
Bulk Dollars | see more
$300 gets you $500 40% Bonus on Your Money! $500.00 $300.00 Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
Free Pick: Purdue at Northwestern
NBA TRIPLE STAR GAME OF WEEK51-34-1 NBA Run; 45-32-3 NBA 3*'s $25.00 Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: Phoenix at Golden State
CBB - Sat "Home Cookin" Play !"We Attack The Hardwood Tonight" $5.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
SuperBOWL! Lifetime SB 11-5 pregameMore Props go UP Saturday 11am PST! $35.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Teddy Covers | today's note
3* Big Ticket NBA Mega-ShockerScorching NBA: 6-1, 24-10 Streaks $25.00 Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
NBA Access thru Finals!LAST DAY for Deep Discounts! $499.00 $395.00 Add to Cart
Ken Thomson | today's note
Free Pick: Kansas St. at Kansas
CBB Access thru March Madness!Last Chance for Deep Discounts! $399.00 $295.00 Add to Cart
Andr√© Gomes | today's note
NBA Access thru Finals!LAST DAY for Deep Discounts! $849.00 $699.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Wed, 05/14/14 - 3:45 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet 904 SFG (-115) Hilton vs 903 ATL
Results: W, $300
Analysis: 904 Atlanta at San Francisco

Make no mistake that we like Julio Teheran, but regression is coming for the right-hander and a very hot getaway day game in San Francisco could be just the place. Teheran will be opposed by Madison Bumgarner. Teheran has a sparkling 1.71 ERA in 58 innings covering eight starts so far this season. However, his 3.84 ERA, 3.78 xFIP, and 3.77 SIERA suggest regression on the horizon. Consider that Teheran is pitching this well in spite of drops in strikeout rate and pop up rate. More balls in play not hit as pop ups are eventually going to catch up to Teheran, who has the second-lowest BABIP against among qualified starters. He also has the third-highest ERA-FIP discrepancy. We picked out Alfredo Simon, who was near the top of this list, in his last start and the Rockies blasted him.

Generally, AT&T Park is thought of as a great pitcher's park, but a 93 degree day will lead to more carry than usual at the yard and Teheran's lack of strikeouts and pop ups will lead to a lot of long fly balls.

Madison Bumgarner is due for some progression in his numbers. We backed him in his last start against the Dodgers and he was spectacular. More starts like that should be coming. His strikeout rate continues to rise, now at 25.7 percent. The Braves swing and miss a lot. Bumgarner also has a .346 BABIP against, the ninth-highest among qualified starters. That BABIP against is 54 points above his career average. It's going to come down. His chase rate is up for the sixth straight season, which means that his pitching savvy is catching up to his stuff every year and he's going to continue to improve. He's one of the game's elite pitchers that doesn't get enough love.

With regression in Teheran's metrics and a fine matchup for Bumgarner, we like the Giants a lot in this spot.

PLAY: SAN FRANCISCO


Pick Made: May 14 2014 4:22AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.