Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Goodfella | today's note
GOODFELLA WEEKEND ALL ACCESSALL PLAYS - ALL SPORTS w/NFL GOY !! $69.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
3*NFL SLOW ROLL GAME OF THE MONTHBonus 2* NFL PLAY ADDED $25.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
Free Pick: Detroit at Atlanta
MONSTER TRIPLE COLLEGE BOMBSHELL!Four Time Handicapping Champion! $28.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: St. Louis at Kansas City
3*** CFB "Total Of The Month" !!"This One Goes Wire To Wire" $6.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Tony George | today's note
Free Pick: Detroit at Atlanta
Tony's SEC Game of the YearRARE Triple Star 3 Dimer $25.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Bulk Dollars | see more
$300 gets you $500 40% Bonus on Your Money! $500.00 $300.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
Free Pick: Rutgers at Nebraska
CFL FRIDAY NIGHT CANADIAN CRUSH!24-9 & 72-40 CFL Winning Runs! $25.00 Add to Cart
Teddy Covers | today's note
Free Pick: Baltimore at Cincinnati
3* Big Ticket Watch & Win TV CashEpic 19-7 73% Long Term CFB 3* Run $25.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
3* MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF YEAR72% Mountain West Mark! 67% CFB 3*s $29.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
King Creole | see more
NFL 3*** GAME OF THE MONTHSUN: Flying OVER the TOTAL! $29.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Dollar-A-Day | see more
5-Pros: 5 Premium Picks DailyLess than $1 a Day! $1 Week Trial! $29.00 $1.00 Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
Free Pick: USC at Utah
NBA Season Access through Finals!Ends Soon: Early Bird Lowest Price! $849.00 $649.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
* CFB SEC 3* Game of the Week *3 Straight CFB 3* Wins - All Access $22.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Bryan Leonard | today's note
Free Pick: North Carolina at Virginia
Bryan's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $149.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Carolina at Edmonton
3* MWC Gm Of Month CFB Sat the 25thAbsolute Best CFB MWC move thisYr $29.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Tue, 05/13/14 - 7:05 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 965 DET (-106) 5Dimes vs 966 BAL
Results: W, $200
Analysis:
965 Detroit at Baltimore

A recency bias has influenced the line too much for the Tigers-Orioles matchup on Tuesday night. Ubaldo Jimenez is not fixed despite a 13/3 K/BB ratio and a 0.71 ERA in his last two starts. Jimenez allowed nine baserunners in 5.1 innings against the Rays in his last start. He got lucky to strand the vast majority of them. His velocity is down and hitters are picking on the pitches he does actually throw in the strike zone.

Camden Yards has not been kind to Jimenez this season with a 6.75 ERA in 17.1 innings there. The Tigers have not been kind to Jimenez in his career. As a Cleveland Indian, Jimenez posted a 5.25 ERA against the Tigers over 73.2 innings of work. Current Tigers are batting .291/.380/.456 against Jimenez in his career.

Drew Smyly has posted a 3.80 ERA as a starter so far this season, right in line with most of his advanced metrics, so you have a pretty good idea what to expect from Smyly. He draws an Orioles lineup that ranks 24th in wOBA against lefties so far this season and 26th in wRC+. Smyly's zone-contact percentage has gone down by nearly six percent this season, which is a very good sign for a young pitcher because he's getting swings and misses in the zone rather than relying on the hitters to chase.

The Orioles don't have a lot of experience facing Smyly. They are 2-for-24 in a limited sample size. That should work to Smyly's favor, especially because he could have a sizable lead before the Orioles start to figure him out. Smyly should have been a starter all along and his arsenal is much deeper than people expect because he was mostly a matchup lefty under Jim Leyland. This is the right role and the Tigers will get rewarded throughout the season, including Tuesday night.

PLAY: DETROIT



Pick Made: May 13 2014 4:45AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.