Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: Tampa Bay at Kansas City
MLB 3*** / "ULTRA"3*** Run /L84/ +55.44 Units !! $5.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
* MLB Triple (3*) G.O.Y *Our Biggest Bet This Season ! $26.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
MLB 3* TRIPLE DIME DOMNATOR BIG BET139-79 (64%) DOMINATOR WIN STREAK $11.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
Free Pick: Baltimore at Minnesota
MLB SMACKDOWN TOPS 2-PLAY PACK!Go 2-0! *58-37 & 126-84 MLB Runs! $20.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
Free Pick: Minnesota at San Francisco
LAST DAY: MLB till All Star BreakAll American Celebration DISCOUNT $99.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Teddy Covers | today's note
LAST DAY: MLB till All Star BreakAll American Celebration DISCOUNT $99.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
LAST DAY: MLB till All Star BreakAll American Celebration DISCOUNT $99.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
MONDAY DOUBLE 'DOG SWEEPTwo Great Spots; Two Great Prices $20.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
LAST DAY: MLB till All Star BreakAll American Celebration DISCOUNT $99.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Atlanta at Milwaukee
2* 2* Monday MLB Doubles ...."Every One" In the July 6th Game $18.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
LAST DAY: MLB till All Star BreakAll American Celebration DISCOUNT $99.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
King Creole | see more
LAST DAY: MLB till All Star BreakAll American Celebration DISCOUNT $99.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Rocky Atkinson | today's note
LAST DAY: MLB till All Star BreakAll American Celebration DISCOUNT $99.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Dollar-A-Day | see more
5-Pros: 5 Premium Picks DailyLess than $1 a Day! $1 Week Trial! $29.00 $1.00 Add to Cart
Bulk Dollars | see more
$99 Gets You $150!OVER 50% Bonus! Spend How You Want! $150.00 $99.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Tue, 05/13/14 - 10:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 973 TAM (-110) Pinnacle vs 974 SEA
Results: W, $200
Analysis: 973 Tampa Bay at Seattle

With a day to rest the overworked bullpen, David Price and the Rays make the long trip to the Pacific Northwest to take on Hisashi Iwakuma and the Mariners. There aren't many chances to get David Price at -110, but the oddsmakers are overreacting to Price's start to the season. Price has a 4.53 ERA, but a lot of that can be attributed to bad luck with a .344 BABIP against. Price's 3.50 FIP signals that improvement is coming and his 2.63 xFIP suggests that his home run rate is way above average given the number of fly balls and the home run rate is going to normalize soon. There's no better park for a home run to normalize than Safeco Field in Seattle.

Price has seen a small drop in velocity, but he's still throwing with the same control and inducing more swings and misses, so we're not worrying about an underlying injury. Price has a K/BB ratio of 58/6 on the season. His line drive rate is right in line with his career average and the home run rate will come down to a reasonable number. He's throwing first-pitch strikes to over 73 percent of hitters, getting more swings and misses, both inside and outside the zone, and has a 2.70 SIERA. He's really underpriced against a Mariners lineup full of left-handed hitters.

Hisashi Iwakuma came back from the DL with guns blazing, but that was against the Astros and an aggressive Kansas City lineup that plays right into his hands. The Rays will force Iwakuma to get into the strike zone, which could be a problem given that he only threw 38 percent of his pitches in the strike zone against the Royals in his last start. He is still trying to build up arm strength, so his velocity is down a couple ticks from where it was.

The Mariners rank 27th in defensive runs saved at -20 already on the season. Most of the infielders are below average on the season and Iwakuma is a ground ball pitcher. That's something to watch for in this outing against a Rays team that has several guys that run well.

The first true test for Iwakuma comes in this start and Price is due for a dominant outing if you believe in the advanced metrics like we do.

PLAY: TAMPA BAY


Pick Made: May 13 2014 4:43AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.