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Mon, 05/12/14 - 8:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Total
Free pick 902 STL / 901 CHC Under 7.5 5Dimes
Results: L, 0
Analysis:
902 Chicago Cubs at St. Louis

A couple of impressive southpaws that know how to pitch will square off on Monday night at Busch Stadium when Travis Wood and Tyler Lyons take the mound. Neither guy will touch 90 very often, but deception, an ability to change speeds, and good control put these pitchers among the craftiest lefties in the game.

Wood has experienced a strikeout increase this season with a 21.4 percent strikeout rate. That's nearly one strikeout per inning for him so far on the season. He has gotten a bit unlucky with a .341 BABIP leading to a 4.75 ERA. His 3.42 FIP and 3.61 SIERA suggest that better things are on the horizon for Wood.

As for Lyons, he has a five-pitch mix and good fastball command. So far this season while used as a starter, Lyons has allowed seven runs in 18 innings and has averaged a strikeout per inning. He's doing a great job missing the fat part of the plate with a line drive rate of just 15.8 percent.

Both teams are in the bottom half of the league in terms of hitting left-handed pitching. The Cubs are 19th in OPS while the Cardinals are 26th. The Cubs are averaging just 3.4 runs per game so far this month. The Cardinals are playing the Sunday night game in Pittsburgh and will have a late night return trip home to open up this series.

Expect a lot of strikes and a lot of weak outs from these two guys that know how to get hitters out.

PLAY: CHC/STL UNDER

We start the week on a positive note on Monday with a MAJOR BARGAIN PRICED PLAY on the diamonds. Strong saber metric numbers point to a clear winning side tonight and the price is right to put us back in the win column. Join us Monday for THE BEST BET ON THE BOARD. 


Pick Made: May 12 2014 5:20AM PST
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