Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Stephen Nover | today's note
3* MLB WED WIPEOUT WINNER80% Long-Term Spot! Monster Edges $25.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
Free Pick: Pittsburgh at Washington
PreSeason 3* GAME OF THE YEAR28-13 NFL Preseason, bonus 2* play. $25.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Bulk Dollars | today's note
SPECIAL: $75 Gets You $150Most Popular Bulk Offer IMPROVED! $150.00 $75.00 Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: Chicago at Detroit
MLB 3*** / "Wednesday Wallop" !!!MLB Run 8-2 / + 13.44 Units !! $5.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
CFB (3*) TRIPLE DIME MAX BET88-50 (64%) MAX BET WIN STREAK! $22.00 $1.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
TRIPLE DIME CFB TOTAL DESTROYER64% 2015 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WINNERS $25.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
* CFB (3*) Game of the Week *ACC Opening Weekend - Bonus Plays! $25.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
Free Pick: Denver at Arizona
3* NFLX GAME OF WEEK! 41-36 NFL Win Streak + Bonus! $25.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Ben Burns | today's note
Free Pick: Seattle at Oakland
BURNS’ MLB GAME OF THE MONTH!TOP RATED 3* PLAY! $29.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
Free Pick: Missouri at W. Virginia
COLLEGE KICK OFF TRIPLE STAR!Four Time Handicapping Champion! $28.00 (for Friday) Add to Cart
Ralph Michaels | today's note
FIVE CFB WIN TOTALS!From Ralph Michaels & Brad Powers! $39.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Brad Powers | see more
CFB All-Access Discount!Price Will NEVER Be Lower! $1,250.00 $575.00 Add to Cart
Pauly Howard | today's note
Football All-Access Discount!Price Will NEVER Be Lower! $2,500.00 $895.00 Add to Cart
Bruce Marshall | see more
Football All-Access Discount!Price Will NEVER Be Lower! $2,500.00 $895.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Chicago at Detroit
3* CFL MAX BET HAMMER3* B C Lions/Tor Args ALL IN !! $25.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Diamondbacks
vs.
Giants
Premium & Free!
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Mon, 05/12/14 - 7:05 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 911 DET (-110) Pinnacle vs 912 BAL
Results: W, $200
Analysis:
911 Detroit at Baltimore

Rick Porcello will get the call for the Tigers when they open up a series in Baltimore against the Orioles. He'll be opposed by Bud Norris. Porcello is taking major strides forward this season with a minuscule 4.1 percent walk rate and more swings and misses in the strike zone. Increased use of his slider, especially early in counts, has given Porcello the opportunity to make hitters swing at the pitches he wants them to swing at. The result has been a higher chase rate and Porcello's drop in strikeouts has been replaced by an increase in pop ups. He has refined his changeup and is no longer just a sinkerball pitcher with mediocre offspeed stuff.

The changes are evident with a 3.49 ERA, a 3.16 FIP, a 3.15 xFIP, and a 3.50 SIERA. Given that there isn't a big discrepancy in Porcello's advanced metrics, his current performance should be the expectation.

Bud Norris, on the other hand, is losing the one thing that made him a viable starting pitcher. Norris is experiencing a decline in strikeout rate for the third straight season. He's become much more reliant on the fastball, leading to a rise in home run rate. Norris has a 3.82 ERA but a 4.72 FIP would suggest that regression is on the way. Norris has been extremely lucky with stranding runners, leaving men on base at an 81 percent clip. That won't continue for a guy experiencing a strikeout decrease.

With two pitchers going in opposite directions, the value is on Detroit in the series opener on Monday night.

PLAY: DETROIT


Pick Made: May 12 2014 5:16AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.