Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Dave Cokin | today's note
Free Pick: Minnesota at Kansas City
Triple Dime Underdog GAME OF MONTHWon 6 of 7 (+25 units MLB season!) $25.00 Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
2* MLB National League Blowout !!Contender Vs. Pretender $5.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
TRIPLE DIME MLB TOTAL DESTROYEROFF 3-0 TUESDAY--BIG PLAY ALERT $25.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
Free Pick: Milwaukee at San Diego
MLB WEDNESDAY HEAVY HITTER!16-5 Winning MLB Run! $20.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
MONSTER TRIPLE COLLEGE KICKOFF!70% College Triple Winners In 2013 $25.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Teddy Covers | today's note
Free Pick: UNLV at Arizona
Teddy's High Scoring MLB SlugfestScorching 86% MLB Hot Streak $19.00 Add to Cart
Dollar-A-Day | see more
5-Pros: 5 Premium Picks DailyLess than $1 a Day! $1 Week Trial! $29.00 $1.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
PAC-12 3* TRIPLE DIME GAME OF WEEKBIGGEST CFB PLAY OF OPENING WEEK!! $29.00 (for Friday) Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
COLLEGE FBALL 3* GAME OF THE MONTH VEGAS got this Saturday TOTAL WRONG $29.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
Free Pick: Wake Forest at Louisiana-Monroe
* CFB (3*) Dime GOW-Bonus Triple * 11-1 (92%) Football 3* Run $26.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Bulk Dollars | see more
$300 gets you $500 40% Bonus on Your Money! $500.00 $300.00 Add to Cart
Bryan Leonard | today's note
Free Pick: Bowling Green at W. Kentucky
NCAA Total Domination GOW 8/30CLEMSON/GEORGIA $25.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Boston at Toronto
Super Quiet 2* Thursday CFBRock'n the Thursday Tic CFB 37-17 $12.00 Add to Cart
Tony George | today's note
Free Pick: Penn St. at UCF
Thursday NCAA Football Book BeaterTotals Play - Best Bet $16.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Brady Kannon | see more
NFL Season All-AccessPrice Never This Low Again! $1,000.00 $595.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Marlins
vs.
Angels
Premium & Free!
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Mon, 05/12/14 - 7:05 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 911 DET (-110) 5Dimes vs 912 BAL
Results: W, $200
Analysis:
911 Detroit at Baltimore

Rick Porcello will get the call for the Tigers when they open up a series in Baltimore against the Orioles. He'll be opposed by Bud Norris. Porcello is taking major strides forward this season with a minuscule 4.1 percent walk rate and more swings and misses in the strike zone. Increased use of his slider, especially early in counts, has given Porcello the opportunity to make hitters swing at the pitches he wants them to swing at. The result has been a higher chase rate and Porcello's drop in strikeouts has been replaced by an increase in pop ups. He has refined his changeup and is no longer just a sinkerball pitcher with mediocre offspeed stuff.

The changes are evident with a 3.49 ERA, a 3.16 FIP, a 3.15 xFIP, and a 3.50 SIERA. Given that there isn't a big discrepancy in Porcello's advanced metrics, his current performance should be the expectation.

Bud Norris, on the other hand, is losing the one thing that made him a viable starting pitcher. Norris is experiencing a decline in strikeout rate for the third straight season. He's become much more reliant on the fastball, leading to a rise in home run rate. Norris has a 3.82 ERA but a 4.72 FIP would suggest that regression is on the way. Norris has been extremely lucky with stranding runners, leaving men on base at an 81 percent clip. That won't continue for a guy experiencing a strikeout decrease.

With two pitchers going in opposite directions, the value is on Detroit in the series opener on Monday night.

PLAY: DETROIT


Pick Made: May 12 2014 5:16AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.