Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
VegasButcher | today's note
Top MLB Play for TuesdayJust 1 today - best play on board $5.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
* CFB (3*) Game of the Week *ACC Opening Weekend - Bonus Plays! $25.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
Free Pick: Pittsburgh at Washington
PreSeason 3* GAME OF THE YEAR28-13 NFL Preseason last 2 years $25.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
TRIPLE DIME CFB TOTAL DESTROYER64% 2015 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WINNERS $25.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: Buffalo at Baltimore
CFB 3*** / "Opening Night Bomb" !!!Don't Miss On This Game !!! $5.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
3* CFB NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF MONTH60-33 (65%) FOOTBALL GOM WIN STREAK $24.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Pauly Howard | today's note
MLB Tuesday TotalGoing for 6 out of 7! $15.00 Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
Free Pick: Southern Miss. at Kentucky
MLB 2* TOTAL BEST BET! +13.97 MLB Units This Year! $20.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
Free Pick: Missouri at W. Virginia
COLLEGE KICK OFF TRIPLE STAR!Four Time Handicapping Champion! $28.00 (for Friday) Add to Cart
Ralph Michaels | today's note
FIVE CFB WIN TOTALS!From Ralph Michaels & Brad Powers! $39.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Brad Powers | see more
CFB All-Access Discount!Price Will NEVER Be Lower! $1,250.00 $575.00 Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
3* COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOTALS CRUSHER13-3 Last 16 College FB Plays! $25.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
Bruce Marshall | see more
Football All-Access Discount!Price Will NEVER Be Lower! $2,500.00 $895.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Los Angeles at Colorado
3* INTER-LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK526-480-12 3* Mark $25.00 Add to Cart
Simon | today's note
Simon's 2* CFB Kickoff! 27-11 CFB 2015 Regular Season! $19.00 (for Thursday) Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Sat, 05/10/14 - 7:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Total
Free pick 906 NYM / 905 PHI Over 7 Westgate
Results: W, 0
Analysis:
905 Philadelphia at NY Mets

A couple of pitchers in line for regression face off on Saturday night at Citi Field. Kyle Kendrick and Dillon Gee both have advanced metrics that signal some tough times on the horizon. Kendrick, a pitch to contact guy working with a below average defense behind him, has a 3.58 ERA but a 4.81 FIP. Kendrick has allowed six home runs in 37.2 innings of work, leading to the high FIP. But he also has a well below average strikeout rate and is heavily reliant on a defense that nobody wants to rely on. Kendrick is also stranding 79 percent of baserunners, which is unsustainable for a guy that doesn't strike hitters out.

Dillon Gee has a 2.51 ERA but a 4.01 FIP, a 4.10 xFIP, and a 4.22 SIERA. He's a prime regression candidate. Gee has stranded 85.7 percent of his runners with a below average strikeout rate. His .226 BABIP is 53 points below his career BABIP against. Gee does tend to strand runners at a higher rate than normal, but not 10-12 percent higher than normal. Between a drop in strikeouts and a spike in walks, regression will come sooner rather than later.

And it could come in this start. Against the Phillies, Gee has a 7.46 ERA with 70 hits allowed in 50.2 innings. In those 50.2 innings, Gee has allowed 11 home runs. Like Gee, Kendrick has struggled in this matchup. He has a respectable 3.43 ERA, but a lot of that is due to 16 unearned runs in 107.2 innings. His 1.44 WHIP is a sign that he really has not pitched well.

Along with the starting pitching matchup, the Phillies have the second-worst bullpen FIP and the Mets have the sixth-worst bullpen FIP. Given the regression coming to both pitchers, the awful bullpens, and the career numbers in this matchup, look for some runs between these two teams.

PLAY: PHI/NYM OVER

Fresh off a perfect 3-0 baseball day winning by a combined 15 runs. We return on Saturday with 4 Best Bets including this 2 Unit Free Selection. Don't miss out on our entire Saturday card. 


Pick Made: May 10 2014 4:32AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.