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Fri, 05/09/14 - 10:05 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet 980 OAK (-110) Pinnacle vs 979 WAS
Results: W, $300
Analysis: 980 Washington at Oakland

The Washington Nationals take the long trip out west to take on the Oakland A's in interleague play. The opening game of the series will mark Doug Fister's first Major League start of the season. Fister walked three in his 7.2 rehab innings in Single-A and Triple-A over two starts. Fister is a guy that lives by his control and ability to work down in the strike zone and a couple of mediocre rehab starts shouldn't inspire confidence for this outing. So far this season, the Nationals infield is -4 in defensive runs saved and the defense should be busy with Fister's ground ball style.

Fister threw 76 pitches in his rehab start and the A's have six players in the top 63 in pitches per plate appearance. It's highly unlikely that a rusty Fister will be able to work deep into the game and it's always a dicey situation for a manager when he has to go to the bullpen early in the opening game of a series. For a pitcher returning from injury, the A's are one of the worst lineups to face. We expect Fister to struggle here.

The A's will send Tommy Milone to the mound. Don't be scared away by Milone's struggles because four of his five starts have come on the road. Over his career, Milone has a 3.25 ERA at home compared to a 4.72 ERA on the road. Hitters are posting just a .301 wOBA at home off of Milone.

There's definitely value on Milone given the overreaction to his road performance and this is not a good spot for Fister.


Pick Made: May 9 2014 4:44AM PST
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