Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Fezzik | today's note
SUNDAY 3* NBA GAME OF THE WEEKBONUS 2* Pick as well! $29.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
3*** GAME 7 RAPS/INDY PACERS NBA 3* SPURS EASY L NIGHT $25.00 Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: Minnesota at Houston
NBA 3*** / "Playoff GOM !!NBA YTD / + 22.50 Units !! $6.00 (for Monday) Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
2* NBA BEST BET! Going for 7th Straight NBA Winner! $20.00 Add to Cart
Steve Merril | today's note
NBA PLAYOFFS TV CASH - Pacers/RapsSunday's Best Bet $25.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
NBA Round 2 thru Finals All Access!Last Chance Discounted Subscription $200.00 $119.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
NBA Round 2 thru Finals All Access!Last Chance Discounted Subscription $200.00 $119.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
NBA Round 2 thru Finals All Access!Last Chance Discounted Subscription $200.00 $119.00 Add to Cart
Ralph Michaels | today's note
NBA Round 2 thru Finals All Access!Last Chance Discounted Subscription $200.00 $119.00 Add to Cart
Bruce Marshall | see more
NBA Round 2 thru Finals All Access!Last Chance Discounted Subscription $200.00 $119.00 Add to Cart
Pauly Howard | today's note
NBA Round 2 thru Finals All Access!Last Chance Discounted Subscription $200.00 $119.00 Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
NBA Round 2 thru Finals All Access!Last Chance Discounted Subscription $200.00 $119.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
NBA Round 2 thru Finals All Access!Last Chance Discounted Subscription $200.00 $119.00 Add to Cart
Andy Iskoe | today's note
NBA Round 2 thru Finals All Access!Last Chance Discounted Subscription $200.00 $119.00 Add to Cart
Brady Kannon | see more
2016 GOLF SEASON ALL-ACCESS!!Includes 3 Remaining MAJORS! $400.00 $179.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Wed, 05/07/14 - 12:40 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 953 NYM (+108) Pinnacle vs 954 Mia
Results: L, -$200
Analysis: 953 NY Mets at Miami

Zack Wheeler and Tom Koehler will match up on getaway day in Miami as these two NL East foes do battle. Wheeler has a BABIP against of .360, which is extremely high given his low line drive rate. His xBABIP, or expected BABIP, should be closer to .320, which makes a substantial difference with his slightly elevated walk rate. Wheeler's 5.13 ERA is extremely misleading given his 3.15 FIP, 3.57 xFIP, and 3.72 SIERA. Wheeler's numbers are inflated by a start at Coors Field, which can be a very difficult park for pitcher's overall, but especially for those making their first start in those conditions.

Wheeler is due for some progression towards his advanced metrics and a start in a pitcher-friendly environment against a lineup he dominated in his last start against them should be the time for that to start.

On the other side, Tom Koehler is due a massive amount of regression. Koehler has a 2.41 ERA because of an anemic .215 BABIP. His 4.40 FIP and 4.67 SIERA are much better indicators of where Koehler's ERA should be. There's no Koehler's 1.5 K/BB is tied for the fourth-worst ratio among qualified starting pitchers. Without the ability to strike out batters, Koehler is stranding 85 percent of baserunners. That will not continue and things will start to even out in the very near future.

Wheeler provides great value here as an underdog with the regression that is suggested in Koehler's advanced metrics.

PLAY: NY METS



Pick Made: May 7 2014 4:38AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.