Mobile version of this content for your phone at (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Goodfella | today's note
Fezzik | today's note
3* CFB GAME OF THE WEEK BLOWOUTStrongest CFB BET OF THE WEEK! $25.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: Dallas at Portland
CBB / "Prime-Time" / Two Star **1st CBB Release 2015 $5.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
COLLEGE DOUBLE RABID DOG SHOCKER!Plus 255 Units Profit! $25.00 Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
Free Pick: Ind.-Pur.-Indpls. at Ball St.
TWO TUESDAY 2* CBB BEST BETS!60-46-1 CBB Win Streak! $20.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Wofford at Georgia Tech
3* SUPER CBB POWER PLAY TOP 3-0 CBB SWEEP MON 377-318(54.2%) 3* $25.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | see more
* CFB Championship Triple Dime *Winning CFB Season - Easy Winner $25.00 Add to Cart
Pauly Howard | today's note
Tuesday NBA WiepoutLine is very telling here $15.00 Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
3* NFL DECEMBER CHALK PLAY OF MONTH19 of 21 Winning NFL Years! $29.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Ken Thomson | today's note
Ken's 7 Day All Access Package $119.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
Greg's 7 Day ALL ACCESS packageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
Steve Merril | see more
Steve Merril's 7 Day All Access22-8 All Sports Run; +19.12 units! $119.00 Add to Cart
Brady Kannon | see more
Brady Kannon's 7 Day All Access $119.00 Add to Cart
King Creole | see more
King's 7-day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
Rocky Atkinson | today's note
Rocky's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Wed, 05/07/14 - 12:40 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 953 NYM (+108) Pinnacle vs 954 Mia
Results: L, -$200
Analysis: 953 NY Mets at Miami

Zack Wheeler and Tom Koehler will match up on getaway day in Miami as these two NL East foes do battle. Wheeler has a BABIP against of .360, which is extremely high given his low line drive rate. His xBABIP, or expected BABIP, should be closer to .320, which makes a substantial difference with his slightly elevated walk rate. Wheeler's 5.13 ERA is extremely misleading given his 3.15 FIP, 3.57 xFIP, and 3.72 SIERA. Wheeler's numbers are inflated by a start at Coors Field, which can be a very difficult park for pitcher's overall, but especially for those making their first start in those conditions.

Wheeler is due for some progression towards his advanced metrics and a start in a pitcher-friendly environment against a lineup he dominated in his last start against them should be the time for that to start.

On the other side, Tom Koehler is due a massive amount of regression. Koehler has a 2.41 ERA because of an anemic .215 BABIP. His 4.40 FIP and 4.67 SIERA are much better indicators of where Koehler's ERA should be. There's no Koehler's 1.5 K/BB is tied for the fourth-worst ratio among qualified starting pitchers. Without the ability to strike out batters, Koehler is stranding 85 percent of baserunners. That will not continue and things will start to even out in the very near future.

Wheeler provides great value here as an underdog with the regression that is suggested in Koehler's advanced metrics.


Pick Made: May 7 2014 4:38AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed! is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.