Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Spartan | today's note
Free Pick: Miami at Baltimore
COLLEGE RABID DOG WINNER!Rabid Dogs Plus 290 Units! $25.00 Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: Tampa Bay at San Diego
**SEC & BIG10** / Championships !!!2 Big Games - 2 Big Winners $6.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
Free Pick: Washington at Arizona
3* BIG 10 CFB GAME OF THE MONTHWON BIG 10 GOY+ 79-41 3* GOM STREAK $24.00 Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
3* MOUNTAIN WEST TITLE CRUSHER86% Mountain West! 15-3-1 CFB Run! $25.00 Add to Cart
VegasButcher | today's note
Free Pick: Detroit at New Orleans
Top NBA Play for Saturday $5.00 Add to Cart
Brad Powers | today's note
CFB Game of the Week!Won Game of Year Last Saturday! $25.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
TRIPLE DIME CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH8-0 FOOTBALL TOTALS WIN STREAK $25.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
NFL SUNDAY 2* EARLY GAMES!11-1 LAST 12 2* FBALL RELEASES $23.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Bulk Dollars | see more
$99 Gets You $150 Bulk Dollars!OVER 50% Bonus! Spend How You Want! $150.00 $99.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: San Diego St. at Wyoming
3* CBB GAME OF THE WEEK67-46 3* RUN... + 42 Units $25.00 Add to Cart
Simon | today's note
Simon's Evening 2* CFB Best Bet! Saturday Night CFB Action! $19.00 Add to Cart
Pauly Howard | today's note
NFL Total Sunday 7-1-1 NFL Run $20.00 (for Sunday) Add to Cart
Ken Thomson | today's note
3 GAME CFB PKG. SPECIAL FOR $259 UNITS WORTH OF CFB NITE GAMES $25.00 Add to Cart
Andy Iskoe | today's note
All Sport All-Access thru CFB TitleLAST DAY Most Action Lowest Price! $1,000.00 $259.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
All Sport All-Access thru CFB TitleLAST DAY Most Action Lowest Price! $1,000.00 $259.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Sun, 05/04/14 - 4:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 909 MIL (+110) Pinnacle vs 910 CIN
Results: L, -$200
Analysis:
909 Milwaukee at Cincinnati

Kyle Lohse and Alfredo Simon will take the mound for their respective teams as the Brewers and Reds wrap up a four-game series at Great American Ball Park. Lohse has been very impressive to start the season with a 2.70 ERA and a 3.64 K/BB ratio. What's really interesting about Lohse's season so far is that he's getting more swings and misses inside the strike zone and is throwing more strikes. He's throwing his breaking balls a bit more often and is using his outstanding control to induce a lot of weak outs and strikeouts.

All but one of Lohse's six starts have been quality starts, with three runs or fewer and six or more innings pitched. Between the Brewers strong defense and some run support, Lohse has gotten off to a great start this season and we expect that to continue.

The success that we don't expect to continue is that of Alfredo Simon. Simon has some unsustainable statistics in his profile that will normalize very soon. With a well below average strikeout ratio, Simon is stranding 87 percent of his runners. His BABIP against is just .206, which will not continue for a ground ball pitcher with a good, but not elite, defense behind him. The advanced metrics suggest exactly what we are, as Simon has a 1.60 ERA but a 3.75 FIP, a 4.27 xFIP, and a 4.32 SIERA.

Simon also hasn't really been tested very much. In his five starts, four of them have come against the Cubs, Pirates, and Mets. Those teams rank 26th, 23rd, and 29th in wOBA. The Brewers are a much more formidable group than those teams and this should be the start where Simon comes back to earth.

PLAY: MILWAUKEE



Pick Made: May 4 2014 4:50AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.