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Goodfella | today's note
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Fezzik | today's note
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Thu, 05/01/14 - 7:10 PM Marco D'Angelo | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet 954 CIN (-117) William Hill vs 953 MIL
Results: W, $300
Analysis:
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PLAY:  CINCINNATI
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY



Two strong angles put me squarely on the Home team here. First Milwaukee is coming off of a huge series in St Louis taking 2 of 3 from the Cardinals. I believe after such a big series for the Brewers and having to travel to Cincinnati tonight puts them in a bad scheduling spot. The Reds are coming off a home loss last night which puts them is a very strong situation. Going back to the start of last season Cincinnati following a loss at home is an outstanding 26-8 in their next game. Milwaukee has also been a team that doesn't handle getaway day well as over the last 3 seasons Milwaukee is just 9-22 on Thursday's. Homer Bailey pitched well in his last 3 appearances against Milwaukee as he pitched a total of 21 innings allowing just 7 runs in the 3 starts. Finally Cincinnati is 13-5 vs Milwaukee in games played in Cincinnati over the last 3 years. My Numbers have Cincinnati winning 5-3.

TAKE CINCINNATI as MARCO'S 3* NL GAME OF THE WEEK

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Pick Made: May 1 2014 1:35PM PST
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