Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
Free Pick: Kentucky at Missouri
3* CFB SMACKDOWN GAME OF THE YEAR!3 PM ET (12 noon PT)! 41-16 Spot! $29.00 Add to Cart
Bryan Leonard | today's note
Free Pick: Air Force at Army
NCAA FB Game of the Year!One & Only College Football GOY $30.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
SATURDAY CFB BEST BETS!WE have CRUSHED CFB ALL YEAR LONG $25.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
Free Pick: TCU at W. Virginia
COLLEGE TRIPLE BLOCKBUSTER!Plus 268 Units All Time! $28.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Air Force at Army
3* Saturday Conf USA CFB GM O YEAR150 98 3* Run..Conference USA GOYR $29.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
Free Pick: Tennessee at S. Carolina
* CFB (3)* Dime GOW - All Access *29-15 (62%) GOW Run - Early Winner! $24.00 Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
Free Pick: Florida at Georgia
CFB 3* ANNIHILATOR + BONUS PLAY70% CFB 3*'s! Top Sat Side Play $25.00 Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: Boston at Houston
CFB - 2** "Saturday Night Knockout"**Public Is On The Wrong Side** $5.00 Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
Free Pick: W. Kentucky at Louisiana Tech
4 CFB Best Bets (w/Game of Week)61% CFB Winners last 37 Best Bets $29.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
TRIPLE DIME CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK114-63 GOW WIN STREAK--BONUS $25.00 Add to Cart
King Creole | see more
Free Pick: San Diego at Miami
CFB Sat 5-Game 'TOTALRAMA'All five games are OVERS! $31.00 Add to Cart
Teddy Covers | today's note
Free Pick: Denver at New England
3* Big Ticket Late Night Blowout20-9 (69%) NCAA Big Tickets L2 Yrs $25.00 Add to Cart
Ken Thomson | today's note
TWO GAME TOTAL PKG.( 20-8 CFB THIS SEASON ) $22.00 Add to Cart
Andy Iskoe | today's note
Free Pick: N.C. State at Syracuse
Andy Iskoe's Early Saturday 4 Play4 Games From 4 Conferences $25.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
Last Chance NBA Access thru Finals!Price Will NEVER Be This Low Again! $849.00 $695.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Thu, 05/01/14 - 7:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 951 ATL (-125) Bookmaker.com vs 952 Mia
Results: L, -$250
Analysis:
951 Atlanta at Miami

The Braves and Marlins will wrap up their series on Thursday night with a matchup between Ervin Santana and Henderson Alvarez. Santana seems to be pitching with a chip on his shoulder after remaining unsigned until injuries popped up for the Braves in March, but besides that potential extra focus, a major change in Santana's repertoire has led to some improvements. Santana worked hard over the course of last season and this past offseason to polish a changeup that he had been working on. With a legitimate third weapon to go along with his fastball and above average slider, Santana has struck out over 29 percent of opposing hitters and the pitch has helped to keep hitters off balance.

Armed with the new changeup, Santana has a career high chase rate of over 34 percent by PITCHf/x data, which is a good sign against a Marlins lineup that ranks eighth in the highest percentage of pitches outside the strike zone swung at. Santana has pounded the zone with his other pitches and has used the changeup as an extremely effective weapon. To date, 24 of Santana's 31 strikeouts have come on either sliders or changeups and that's significant against a Marlins lineup that is below average against both of those pitches. With the spectacular Braves defense, a modified repertoire, and a Marlins lineup that will struggle against Santana, the Braves look like a strong play.

On the other side, Henderson Alvarez is enjoying a quality start to the season, but the Braves are in a better position than the Marlins in this game. While the Marlins have seen very little of Santana, the Braves faced Alvarez four times last season. In those four starts, Alvarez allowed 17 runs on 25 hits in 21 innings of work. Because of unearned runs, Alvarez has a 2.73 ERA, but if all of the runs allowed were earned, it would be 4.24, which is in line with his 3.94 SIERA and his career 4.22 SIERA to date. Obviously errors aren't the pitchers fault, but they are inevitable with an average defense and a lot of balls in play. Nearly 80 percent of plate appearances against Alvarez result in a ball in play.

We're believers in changes that Ervin Santana has made and a Braves lineup that struggles against strikeout pitchers should do well against a pitch-to-contact guy like Alvarez.

PLAY: ATLANTA


Pick Made: May 1 2014 5:12AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.