Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
Stephen Nover | today's note
3* EARLY GAME BLOCKBUSTER + BONUS 36-23-1 Last 60 Triple Stars! $25.00 Add to Cart
sleepyj | today's note
NBA 3**** / "Rout Special" !!3*** Run /L65/ +54.75 Units $6.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
Free Pick: San Francisco at Milwaukee
MEMORIAL DAY TRIPLE DIME DOMINATOR12-5 (71%) MLB 3* TRIPLE WIN STREAK $22.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
3* 3* Memorial Day Appeciation Dbl 3* NBA 3* MLB Top Shots . Yes Sir $20.00 Add to Cart
Teddy Covers | today's note
Memorial Day MLB MoneymakerAfternoon Delight Winner B4 Dinner $10.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | today's note
LAST DAY 100 Day MLB All Access!Less Than $4 a Day! $649.00 $399.00 Add to Cart
King Creole | see more
NBA Round 3 GAME OF THE YEAROU in the WARRIORS / ROCKETS game! $29.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
LAST DAY 100 Day MLB All Access!Less Than $4 a Day! $649.00 $399.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
LAST DAY 100 Day MLB All Access!Less Than $4 a Day! $649.00 $399.00 Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
LAST DAY 100 Day MLB All Access!Less Than $4 a Day! $649.00 $399.00 Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
Free Pick: Detroit at Oakland
LAST DAY 100 Day MLB All Access!Less Than $4 a Day! $649.00 $399.00 Add to Cart
Greg Shaker | today's note
LAST DAY 100 Day MLB All Access!Less Than $4 a Day! $649.00 $399.00 Add to Cart
Andr√© Gomes | today's note
Andre's 7 Day All Access PackageNBA 2006-2014: +301.9un (55%ATS) $149.00 Add to Cart
Dwayne Bryant | see more
LAST DAY 100 Day MLB All Access!Less Than $4 a Day! $649.00 $399.00 Add to Cart
Rocky Atkinson | today's note
LAST DAY 100 Day MLB All Access!Less Than $4 a Day! $649.00 $399.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Red Sox
vs.
Twins
Premium & Free!
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Tue, 04/29/14 - 7:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
Free pick 955 CHC (+120) Bookmaker.com vs 956 CIN
Results: L, 0
Analysis:
955 Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati

The Cubs and Reds renew their NL Central rivalry on Monday night at Great American Ball Park with a matchup of right-handers. It'll be Jeff Samardzija for the Cubs going up against Alfredo Simon for the Reds.

If you look at pitchers that are seriously overachieving, Alfredo Simon is clearly near the top of the list. Simon has a BABIP against of .190, despite a strikeout rate of just 15.5 percent. He's stranding nearly 91 percent of his runners and that will not continue for a pitcher with a below average strikeout rate. Simon has a 1.30 ERA but a 3.88 FIP and a 4.33 xFIP. His SIERA of 4.38 also signals regression on the horizon. The Cubs aren't a great offense, but all it takes are ground balls finding holes against Simon and the Cubs are an above average base running team.

Besides the statistics that show regression, Simon has an off-field distraction to tend to. Reports came out on Sunday that a woman has filed a civil suit against Simon regarding a past incident involving alleged sexual assault. A guy like Simon with a mediocre arsenal that is a converted reliever due to the Mat Latos injury cannot afford to have a lack of focus. Between the advanced metrics and the distractions, the Cubs stand a good chance of providing Samardzija with some run support.

Jeff Samardzija has traded strikeouts for ground balls so far this season, but he's still one of the most underappreciated arms in baseball. The Reds have averaged three runs per game over their last seven games. Samardzija has adopted more of a pitch-to-contact approach to allow himself to work deeper into games as he has traded some four-seam fastballs in for two-seamers. That change was beneficial against the Reds in his last start and should be again here against a struggling offense. While Samardzija is striking out fewer batters, he's also walking fewer and is trending positively in home runs allowed.

We'll trust in the advanced metrics and expect Simon's regression to start here and look for another fine outing from Samardzija.

PLAY: CHICAGO CUBS

Our Chicago/Cincinnati game from yesterday was rained out. It's scheduled to be played again today with the same pitching matchup. We released that play yesterday at +135 and the game really moved before being postponed. We project the line to open about where it closed yesterday in the +120 range. That loss of 15 cents drops that play from a 2* selection to a Free Play. 

For the first time all season we are releasing an MLB Triple Play. 3 Best Bets for only $25. That's the normal price for just a single selection. Grab this money saving package on Tuesday as we look to sweep the entire board. 


Pick Made: Apr 29 2014 5:06AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.