Mobile version of this content for your phone at PregameMobile.com (click now to access)

Pick Archive

The Pros
(expert handicappers)
sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: Miami at Oakland
MNF **Three Score Cover** Play !!+12.85 U Last 10 Premiums /8-2 Run! $5.00 Add to Cart
Fezzik | today's note
MNF AND 3 EARLY BIRD CFB plays10 straight winning days, go for 11 $25.00 (for Saturday) Add to Cart
Spartan | today's note
NFL MONDAY NIGHT MAGIC!Two Time NFL Handicapping Champ! $25.00 Add to Cart
Scott Spreitzer | today's note
MLB MONDAY NIGHT KNOCKOUT!11-3 & 34-13 MLB Runs! $20.00 Add to Cart
Stephen Nover | today's note
Free Pick: St. Louis at Chicago
MLB 3* TOTAL OF WEEK + BONUS PLAY25-12 (67%) Last 37 Triple Stars! $25.00 Add to Cart
Brady Kannon | see more
Monday Night Football6-and-2 MNF Last Season $19.00 Add to Cart
Dollar-A-Day | see more
5-Pros: 5 Premium Picks DailyLess than $1 a Day! $1 Week Trial! $29.00 $1.00 Add to Cart
Dave Essler | see more
Dave's 7 Day All Access PackageUp over 70 Units This Year ! $119.00 Add to Cart
Northcoast Sports | see more
Monday Night MAGIC!Legendary Play from Northcoast $12.00 Add to Cart
JR ODonnell | today's note
Free Pick: Seattle at Toronto
Jr's 2* MNF Side/1* MNF O/u .... 2* Jet's /Chi MNF + 1* O/u Bonus $18.00 Add to Cart
Dr. Ed Meyer | today's note
Dr. Ed's 7 Day All Access PackageSaves up to 50% OFF on DAILY ACCESS $119.00 Add to Cart
Dwayne Bryant | today's note
MAX BET ALERT: 3* NFL MNF Max83% Football Max Bets This Season $25.00 Add to Cart
Teddy Covers | today's note
Teddy's Monday Night Football Cash!24-14 (64%) Long Term NFL Run $19.00 Add to Cart
Dave Cokin | today's note
Free Pick: Pittsburgh at Atlanta
RARE MNF Best BetOff a Profitable Weekend! $19.00 Add to Cart
Goodfella | today's note
Free Pick: Seattle at Toronto
GOODFELLA 7-DAY ALL ACCESS PACKAGE88-50 (64%) GAME OF WEEK WIN STREAK $119.00 Add to Cart
See all the Pregame Pros
Pregame.com is the lowest priced top-quality pick site on the net! (less than so-called "gua­rant­eed picks")
Pregame Rewards
Rewards Dollars:
10% of purchases
Rewards Points:
20% of purchases
Find out more
Discounts Available
0
See all discounts
Shopping Cart
SubTotal: 0 Items $0.00
Discount: $0.00
Pregame Dollars: $0.00
Promotion Code: $0.00
Total: $0.00
Checkout
Pregame Deals
Tweets from Pros
Pregame is the most quoted sports betting site in the world! (See latest)
Tue, 04/29/14 - 7:10 PM Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line
Free pick 955 CHC (+120) Bookmaker.com vs 956 CIN
Results: L, 0
Analysis:
955 Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati

The Cubs and Reds renew their NL Central rivalry on Monday night at Great American Ball Park with a matchup of right-handers. It'll be Jeff Samardzija for the Cubs going up against Alfredo Simon for the Reds.

If you look at pitchers that are seriously overachieving, Alfredo Simon is clearly near the top of the list. Simon has a BABIP against of .190, despite a strikeout rate of just 15.5 percent. He's stranding nearly 91 percent of his runners and that will not continue for a pitcher with a below average strikeout rate. Simon has a 1.30 ERA but a 3.88 FIP and a 4.33 xFIP. His SIERA of 4.38 also signals regression on the horizon. The Cubs aren't a great offense, but all it takes are ground balls finding holes against Simon and the Cubs are an above average base running team.

Besides the statistics that show regression, Simon has an off-field distraction to tend to. Reports came out on Sunday that a woman has filed a civil suit against Simon regarding a past incident involving alleged sexual assault. A guy like Simon with a mediocre arsenal that is a converted reliever due to the Mat Latos injury cannot afford to have a lack of focus. Between the advanced metrics and the distractions, the Cubs stand a good chance of providing Samardzija with some run support.

Jeff Samardzija has traded strikeouts for ground balls so far this season, but he's still one of the most underappreciated arms in baseball. The Reds have averaged three runs per game over their last seven games. Samardzija has adopted more of a pitch-to-contact approach to allow himself to work deeper into games as he has traded some four-seam fastballs in for two-seamers. That change was beneficial against the Reds in his last start and should be again here against a struggling offense. While Samardzija is striking out fewer batters, he's also walking fewer and is trending positively in home runs allowed.

We'll trust in the advanced metrics and expect Simon's regression to start here and look for another fine outing from Samardzija.

PLAY: CHICAGO CUBS

Our Chicago/Cincinnati game from yesterday was rained out. It's scheduled to be played again today with the same pitching matchup. We released that play yesterday at +135 and the game really moved before being postponed. We project the line to open about where it closed yesterday in the +120 range. That loss of 15 cents drops that play from a 2* selection to a Free Play. 

For the first time all season we are releasing an MLB Triple Play. 3 Best Bets for only $25. That's the normal price for just a single selection. Grab this money saving package on Tuesday as we look to sweep the entire board. 


Pick Made: Apr 29 2014 5:06AM PST
> See Bryan Leonard's Premium Picks
Start with Trust!
Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever!   Security: Yes - SSL encrypted!   Satisfaction: Guaranteed!
Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.