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Wed, 04/23/14 - 8:05 PM Marco D'Angelo | NBA Sides
double-dime bet 730 SAN -8.0 (-110) Hilton vs 729 DAL
Results: L, -$220
Analysis: PLAY:  SAN ANTONIO
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY



This is one where a lot of people will want to jump on Dallas in Game 2 as they will look and say hey they only lost game 1 by 5 points and covered and will want to jump on the Zig Zag Theory. This is the one instance where I feel the exact opposite as although I am a fan of the Zig Zag Theory this isn't the situation where I want any part of the revenging team. When a Home Favorite wins but doesn't cover I believe that is one of the best spots to back them because I feel you almost always get the same intensity as if they lost the previous game only instead of laying a bigger number because of the Zig Zag we are getting a cheaper number because Vegas has moved the line towards the loser of the Game 1. San Antonio has owned Dallas over the last 3 years going 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS the last 3 years. Dallas has been a great ATS team on the road this year going 28-14 ATS but this is just a team that has had their number. I expect the Spurs to play with more intensity tonight and for Popovich to make any necessary adjustments from things that Dallas had success with. The Spurs are too good not to hold serve with home court and off of the close win we get the line value we are looking for. Finally because of the Stupid way the NBA spreads out the games in Round one of the Playoffs the Spurs get extra rest which is a advantage for them having so many older star players. Note when San Antonio is playing only their 2nd game in a 5 day period they are 45-24 ATS the last 69 tries.

TAKE SAN ANTONIO

Pick Made: Apr 23 2014 2:35PM PST
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