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Scott Spreitzer | today's note
Free Pick: Kentucky at Missouri
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Free Pick: Air Force at Army
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King Creole | see more
Free Pick: San Diego at Miami
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Sat, 04/05/14 - 6:09 PM Marco D'Angelo | CBB Sides
triple-dime bet 814 Florida -6.5 (-110) Hilton vs 813 UConn
Results: L, -$330
Analysis:
PLAY:  FLORIDA
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY


Pretty amazing ride for Connecticut as if you go back to the very first game in the Big Dance against St Joe's, Connecticut should be gone.  St Joe's outplayed them and led the entire game until U Conn rallied and or St Joe's choked and game went to OT and St Joe's got blown out in OT which happens so often when a team blows lead in regulation. In second game Connecticut caught a huge match up break as they faced Villanova a team they were familiar with from there days in the Big East and a team that had problems against teams who could shoot the 3. Connecticut moved on easily. In game 3 they caught a Iowa St team who was playing their 2nd game without Forward Niang and we have seen that scenario so many times where a team plays their guts out the first game without their star player then come up short in the 2nd game. I was on Connecticut for that very reason. The last game is the most impressive as they took out a Red Hot Michigan St who was playing very well down the stretch now that they were healthy but even in victory I saw some things I didn't like. Michigan St was able to slow this Connecticut offense down as Connecticut shot only 34.7% from the field but was able to win because they got to the line 22 times and made 21 of 22 while Michigan St only got to the line 8 times making 7 of 8. Florida plays great defense and they will frustrate Connecticut even more than Michigan St did. These two met in early Dec and Connecticut handed Florida one of it's only 2 losses this season. That game was in Connecticut and U Conn hit 11 of 24 from 3 while Florida only made 3 of 9 from 3 yet only lost by 1. Connecticut's great run comes to a close on Saturday as the Florida defense won't be burned by Connecticut burying 3's again. The Florida defense has held 9 of it's last 11 opponents to 61 or less. Because the Dogs have fared so well I think this number is slightly lower than it should be.

TAKE FLORIDA as MARCO'S 3* FINAL FOUR MAX BET




Pick Made: Apr 5 2014 9:32AM PST
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