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Brad Powers | today's note
Free Pick: Xavier at Gonzaga
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Sat, 04/05/14 - 6:09 PM Andy Iskoe | CBB Sides
double-dime bet 813 UConn 6.5 (-110) William Hill vs 814 Florida
Results: W, $200
Analysis: Florida has been the team to beat for much of the season and is the top overall seed in the Tournament. Seeded as a number 7, UConn has played its best basketball of the season in reaching the Final 4 as the backcourt of Shabazz Napier and Ryan Boatright have come up big time, especially Napier. UConn defeated Florida at home 65-64 back at home on December 2, but failed to cover as a 4 point home favorite. That was the last game Florida lost (1 of only 2 losses all season). 30 wins later the Gators are just 2 wins removed from a third national title in the past decade. Interestingly, UConn has won two titles as well since 2004. The key to this selection on the underdog is twofold. First, UConn's excellent backcourt that should keep them within striking distance of the Gators throughout the game and possibly playing with the lead at times. Secondly, Florida is a horrible free throw shooting team whereas UConn is one of the nation's best. That increases the possibility for UConn to stage a late rally if need be when the game gets into the late stages and the foul fest begins. UConn is good enough to win this game but Florida has shown a great amount of resiliency in pulling out wins. Although they have many double digit wins -- including all 4 in this Tournament -- the Gators also had 15 wins by single digits including 9 by 6 points or less. The Gators should win this game but UConn should be in the contest all the way, making the 3 buckets an attractive take.


Pick Made: Apr 5 2014 12:49AM PST
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