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Sat, 04/05/14 - 6:09 PM Andy Iskoe | CBB Total
triple-dime bet 814 Florida / 813 UConn Under 126.5 William Hill
Results: W, $300
Analysis: This is a very attractive matchup between teams each with a pair of national titles within the past decade. Florida was expected t be here as the Gators were the Number 1 seed in the entire Tournament and have won 30 games in a row following their last loss (and second of the season) way back on December 2. Ironically, that loss was to none other than Connecticut and came on the road. The Gators did cover, however, in that loss, as 4 point road underdogs in a 65-64 loss. Things did not go as well for the Huskies following that win as the Huskies suffered 3 losses this season to AAC conference rival Louisville, although the most recent loss did come in the Conference Tournament Finals. Still, UConn was a 7 seed in the Tournament and following a comeback in their first game that resulted in an OT win over St Josephs the Huskies were impressive in defeating Villanova, Iowa State and Michigan State to reach the Final Four. Although 3 of their 4 Tournament games have gone OVER the Total UConn finished the regular season playing 9 straight UNDERs (and 13 of 14) including all 3 games in their Conference Tournament. Florida is arguably the best defensive team in the Tournament and played 3 straight UNDERs in winning the SEC Conference Tournament before splitting its 4 Tournament games with a pair of OVERs and a pair of UNDERs. It should be noted that one of the OVERs was their high scoring 79-68 win over UCLA in the Sweet 16. That was Florida's only game in its last 7 games to produce more than 122 total points. The earlier 65-64 win by UConn stayed UNDER the Total of 131 1/2 (bet up from an open of 130). The cavernous venue of "Jerry's World" in Arlington could well cause problems, especially in the early going, with sight lines and depth perception. Florida played in this stadium in last season's South Regional, scoring just 62 points in its Sweet 16 62-50 win over upstart Florida Gulf Coast (Total was 137). The Elite 8 game against Michigan did go OVER the Total of 135 1/2 but did so because Michigan put up 79 points. The Gators managed just 59. My Total for this game is 123 1/2 so I was pleased with the early action pushing the total up to as high as 127. I would not be surprised if we see late action draw this Total back down to close to the Opener of 124/125 by tip off.


Pick Made: Apr 4 2014 3:37PM PST
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