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Fezzik | today's note
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Sat, 01/11/14 - 4:35 PM Brady Kannon | NFL Side
double-dime bet 111 NOS 9.5 (-120) Pinnacle vs 112 SEA
Results: W, $200
Analysis: The Rematch. Yes, The New Orleans Saints travel back to the spot where they were trounced on Monday Night Football in Week 13, 34-to-7 by the host Seahawks for another shot in the Divisional Playoffs. There are quite a few factors in the contest going in opposite directions.. Russell Wilson and company are excellent SUATS at home, The Saints are just 1-and-5 ATS on the road in the playoffs. The Saints have outstatted their opponents over the course of the last 9-weeks of the season by the largest margin in the NFL - but The Seahawks are looking to make amends for last year's playoff loss at Atlanta. The Saints get their second crack at a team that beat them earlier, just like The Chargers had last week in Cincinnati. Seattle has had a week of rest - but that has not always been their friend as they are just 2-and-11 ATS after a week off when facing an opponent off of a SUATS win. Add to this that you have a couple of the top ranked defenses in the league, a highly rated passing offense versus a highly rated rushing offense.. it seems one can go down the list here with many similarities and reasons that favor each squad.. and because we don't necessarily see a decided advantage one way or the other, we are taking the points. With the weather also expected to be a real scoring deterrent, we like catching a healthy amount of points. With all of this, I feel strongest about the fact that this is the rematch. It is extremely difficult in the NFL to beat a team twice in the same season, especially good teams that are fairly evenly matched. With The Saints having been through this drill once and having had the ability to put together a Plan B, I like their chances to fare much better in this second go around. Finally, there is the line. In the first meeting this game was 6.5 and I would make it right around this number this again. I am comfortable getting 8 and that is the most popular number out there currently. However, I would not be surprised if this number goes up higher by game time. Keep an eye on it and Geaux Saints!

Pick Made: Jan 8 2014 4:13PM PST
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