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Sat, 01/11/14 - 8:15 PM Brady Kannon | NFL Side
double-dime bet 113 IND 9.5 (-135) Pinnacle vs 114 NEP
Results: L, -$270
Analysis: .. and The Colts are still alive! Whatta game last week in Indianapolis. During the regular season, I would definitely look for a letdown from Indy after an effort like that but this is different, this is the playoffs and obviously every game holds greater weight than that of the regular season. I see a few things pointing in the way of The Patriots here.. 1. Andrew Luck struggles on the road by a long shot more than he does at home. 2. The Patriots have Belichick and Brady and an excellent home field advantage.. and 3. The Patriots have owned The Colts in both the regular and post seasons.  Now, enter Andrew Luck who is 5-and-2 SUATS against playoff teams this season and 6-and-1 SUATS as an underdog against the top teams in the league.. and as for New England dominating The Colts, that was pre Mr. Luck. One might look to the fact that The Patriots are coming into this game with rest but actually that has not been a real help to this club over the years as they are 0-and-6 ATS in the playoffs when rested and taking on a team off of back to back wins. As for the stats, both of these teams have below average defenses but overall, New England's is actually worse. Their offenses are very close but actually, I prefer The Colts' slightly in my numbers. Turnover margin - once again the two teams are nearly identical but The Colts have the slight edge. What it all amounts to is that I see the situational set up as nearly equal and I see the statistical side as very equal.. so we will gladly take over a touchdown here with the visitor. Finally, the pressure here is on The Patriots who have had their struggles as of late in the playoffs and in SuperBowls. I think last week's remarkable comeback gives The Colts life, confidence, and the absence of pressure that is on New England. As for the line, it looks like we might not be able to get more than 7.5 without laying heavy juice. I am perfectly okay with this number but would love to have 8. My guess is that this line will not move much so one may want to buy now. Of all 4-games this weekend, I might even take a shot on the money line in this one as it ought to come down to who has the ball last. One thing's for sure.. we have Luck on our side.

Pick Made: Jan 8 2014 4:12PM PST
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