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Sun, 01/05/14 - 4:40 PM Brady Kannon | NFL Side
dime bet 107 SFX -2.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 108 GBP
Results: W, $100
Analysis: Here we go again. The 49'ers and The Packers meet for the 4th time in recent years, two in the regular season, and once in last years playoffs when San Francisco crushed Green Bay.. so while this spells triple-revenge for The Packers, I am thinking they will be looking for quadruple revenge next time around. I do like the situation for The Packers, being a home dog, with a healthy Aaron Rodgers back at the controls, and the aforementioned big revenge angle but I still can't see all of this lining up enough to give Green Bay an edge today over a much better football team. If it wasn't for revenge, the projected below freezing temperatures, and Aaron Rodgers, San Francisco might be favored by double-digits. With the frigid temperatures expected, it is likely that both teams will have more success on the ground than through the air. While the Green Bay running game is good, San Francisco's is 3rd best in the NFL. The Packers defense ranks in the bottom 8 against the run, while San Francisco is the 4th best run stop unit in football. If Green Bay cannot be effective running the ball, they will face a defense that is in the top half dozen against the pass, while The 49'ers should be able to have success on both the ground and through the air, with The Packers defense also ranking in the bottom 9 versus the pass. In addition to this, let's look at the situation for San Francisco.. Coach Harbaugh is 26-8-and-1 ATS out of division and 13-and-2 ATS when out of division, on the road.. and as we mentioned in the open, Harbaugh is also a perfect 3-and-0 ATS vs. Packers boss, Mike McCarthy. Green Bay does have a better overall offense but with weather likely dictating the run, The 49'ers have the edge.. and on defense.. well, it's a landslide for the visitors. Finally, Las Vegas makes San Francisco the 3rd favorite to win the SuperBowl at 6-to-1. The Packers number is in the neighborhood of 3-times that. Very important to get this game at less than a field goal and I would do that sooner rather than later. It will be an awful cold Sunday at Lambeau Field but we like The 49'ers to stay hot.

Pick Made: Jan 2 2014 2:50PM PST
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