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sleepyj | today's note
Free Pick: St. Louis at Kansas City
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Free Pick: W. Virginia at Oklahoma St.
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Tue, 12/31/13 - 8:05 PM Marco D'Angelo | CFB Total
double-dime bet 246 Texas A&M / 245 Duke Over 75.0 Bodog
Results: W, $200
Analysis:
PLAY:  DUKE/TEXAS A&M OVER
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY


I understand that there have been mostly all unders so far in the bowl games but this is a spot where we got to take the over and here's why.  Duke has scored 35 points or more in 6 of their games this year and they've scored 27 or more in all but three games. The 3 games that they did not score 27 or more points one was against Florida State one of the best defenses in the country another was against Virginia Tech another great defensive team and the third game was Georgia Tech in the 3rd game of the season when Georgia Tech just smothered them with time of possession as they ran the ball 60 times with the triple option. Now they face a Texas A&M team that doesn't play good defense. In fact I'm not sure they play any defense at all. Texas A&M gave up 30 or more points in seven of their games this season. They held only two teams to under 20 points this year and that was  overmatched SMU and Texas El Paso teams. Texas A&M had scored 41 or more points in every game this season until the final two games. Two things to note in those last two games both were played on the road at LSU and at Missouri and both of those teams play good defense. It must also be noted that over the last month of the season A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel was not 100% as he was banged up. With a month off he is as close to 100% as he's been all season. I expect to see the Texas A&M offense in high gear once again and would not shock me to see Texas A&M get into the 50's tonight. With that said all I need out of Duke tonight is 28 points to hit my total and I think Duke scores in the 30s this makes my projection in this game 83 total points or more and that's going to be our play tonight. This very well could be Johnny Manziel's last game as a college quarterback just like we saw with Teddy Bridgewater in his bowl game for Louisville the coaches did not pull him out of the game when they had a big lead they let them keep padding his stats upping his stock value in the NFL draft. I expect the same here tonight with Johnny football.
Let's Ring in the New Year with lots of Fireworks tonight in this Bowl Game.

 
TAKE DUKE/TEXAS A&M OVER as MARCO'S COLLEGE BOWL BIG BET



Pick Made: Dec 31 2013 10:17AM PST
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