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Free Pick: Air Force at Army
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Tue, 12/31/13 - 8:05 PM King Creole | NBA Sides
double-dime bet 513 POR 5.0 (-110) Hilton vs 514 OKL
Results: W, $200
Analysis:
8:05pm ET - 5:05pm PT / #513 / Portland Trailblazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder
2** Play on: PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS plus the points

Portland comes in as one of the surprise teams thus far in the 2013/2014 NBA season. Their 24-7 SU record is just 1.5 games behind the Thunder, who come in at 25-5 SU. The Blazers have been equally good on the ROAD (12-4 SU) as they have at HOME (12-3 SU). And they've also gone 8-1 ATS as underdogs. But what grabs our attention in this game is the 'NO REST' situation that the Blazers are in this evening. They were on the road in the 'Big Easy' last night and went right down to the wire versus the Pelicans... losing by 2 points (100-98). The BLAZERS have gone 2207 ATS since 2009 on the road with no rest versus any opponent off a SUATS win. That includes a PERFECT 10-) ATs when installed as road UNDERDOGS of +5 or more points.

On a more recent note:
For the season in the NBA, these non-rested teams have done VERY well when playing off a loss the previous night.
24-12 ATS this year: All NBA road teams with NO REST... and playing off a SU Loss (PORTLAND) versus any opponent off a SU win (Ok City). These trams have gone 12-2 when they W/L percentage is OVER (>) .500.... and a PERFECT 7-0 ATS when their W/L percentage is OVER (>) .600 (BLAZERS).

A look at the ATS patterns for this particular Day of the Week also points us in the right direction.
0-7 ATS this season: All TUESDAY home teams (Thunder) versus any DIVISION opponent playing of a SU loss (TRAILBLAZERS).

In this division (NBA Northwest), we'll be playing in an ideal spot for teams off a loss vs an opponent off a win.
10-24-1 ATS last 5 years: All NORTHWEST DIVISION home teams off a SU win (Ok City) versus any fellow division opponent off a SUATS loss (PORTLAND). We also note that favorites of < 11 pts (Thunder) have gone a PERFECT 0-9-1 ATs in the last two seasons.

So the Thunder are off back-to-back wins while the Blazers are off
back-to-back losses.
8-25 ATS last 3 years: All GAME 22 or greater home favorites of < 7 pts off BB SU wins (Ok City) versus any opponent off BB SU losses (PORTLAND). These teams have gone 3-16 ATS when playing with 'this season REVENGE' (Ok City lost to Portland earlier this month).... and 1-01 ATS when  playing off a DD SU win (Ok City just destroyed Houston by 30 points).

Speaking of that gaudy 31-point home win over Houston on Sunday night...
So far this year, NBA home favorites of < 8 pts have gone 0-3 ATS when playing off a SU home win of 30 or more points (Thunder).
Since 2000, these teams have gone a PERFECT 0-4 ATS when their current W/L Percentage is .666 >... and they're playing a division opponent (BLAZERS).

Pick Made: Dec 31 2013 9:20AM PST
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