Results: W, $200Analysis:
The Thunder appear to be doing very well without Westbrook. In their last game they
stomped the Rockets 117-86. Houston shot 36.5% from the
field, 25% from three-point range and 54.8% from the free throw
line. It was the
Rockets' worst overall shooting performance all season, but the
credit should not go to the Thunder's defense. The Rockets playing their
fourth game in five days starting on Christmas and were simply
tapped out. They did
not score over the first six minutes of the game and effectively
mailed in the rest of the game.
NBA home teams are a combined 50-90-3 ATS with rest when they are
off a win in which they never trailed. This is strong evidence that
teams get over confident in this spot.
Of their 117 points they scored against Houston, only 13 were from
the free-throw line.
This qualifies them for another strong play-against system. NBA teams are a combined
53-100-4 ATS at home with rest after a win in which they scored
less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.
As a team, Oklahoma City is 0-6 ATS (-9.75 ppg) as a home favorite
after a game in which they shot at least 10 percentage points
higher than their season-to-date average. The SDQL text is:
team=Thunder and HF and p:FGP - tA(p:FGP) >= 10 and
Portland lost 110-108 last night in New Orleans and is now playing
the second of back-to-back road games. The Blazers only committed
nine turnovers, but they were beaten badly in the paint. This is a positive
indicator, as Portland is 11-0 ATS (10.95 ppg) with no rest after a
road game in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers -
winning every game straight up. See for yourself with this
team=Trailblazers and rest=0 and p:A and p:TO<10 and
Note that the Blazers were favored only twice in this spot - by 2
and 3 points. In their
lone game in this spot this season, they manhandled the Spurs
The Blazers are a team that will be able to capitalize on
Grab the points.
MTi's FORECAST: Portland 104 OKLAHOMA CITY 102
Pick Made: Dec 31 2013 5:24AM PST