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Tue, 12/31/13 - 5:10 PM Dave Essler | CBB Sides
double-dime bet 538 Central Florida 12.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 537 Louisville
Results: L, -$220
Analysis: I leaned this way before Behanan got suspended yesterday. I suspect that Kentucky loss (a lean I regret not playing) took something mentally from this team, and Louisville will bring out the best in every opponent. The Cardinals are not a great FT shooting team (of course neither is UCF but they don't get to the line) and if they've got one "weakness" it's defending the perimeter, and that's how UCF wants to score, scoring 64% fo their points from behind the arc. At home, I have to think they're comfortable enough to hit some. UCF is the bigger team, and actually are a decent rebounding team, so IMO this is just too many points here. It would not shock me if UCF played them to the wire. Their only home loss was to FSU by a dozen, and L'ville is in the midst of three straight road games, and they really haven't beaten a good team yet. Strictly the perception here in the line, IMO, and PERHAPS we should play the 1H, since it's seems to be the thing to do.


Pick Made: Dec 31 2013 5:24AM PST
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