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Tue, 12/31/13 - 5:10 PM Scott Spreitzer | CBB Sides
double-dime bet 537 Louisville -12.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 538 Central Florida
Results: W, $200
Analysis: The newly formed AAC gets underway on Tuesday and I'm laying the points with Louisville over Central Florida. There's never a good time to play the Cardinals, but UCF is catching them off a loss and that's an even tougher proposition. Louisville not only lost to in-state rival Kentucky on Saturday, but looked lethargic for portions of the game. Rick Pitino won't stand for that type of effort and I'm betting his troops will be focused start-to-finish in this one. UCF has just three losses on the season, but all three came by double-digits, losing to FAU, Valpo, and Florida State. The loss to the Seminoles gave us a telling factor for this one. UCF was forced into 20 turnovers by the more athletic FSU guards and now face one of the top backcourts in college basketball. UCF wants to stand outside and fire away from behind the arc, but Louisville will be too quick to man-up in their defensive matchups leading to very few open looks for the Knights. Calvin Newell and Isaiah Sykes were eaten alive by the Seminole backcourt, turning the ball over a combined nine times. Deny the two guards and their 3-point shooting forwards won't get the passes they need to set up their quality treys. There might be a little rust with those shots anyway with this being the Knights' first game in nine days. Louisville has been a double-digit favorite 34 times over the last two seasons. They're not only 22-12 ATS in those outings, but out-scored the opposition by an average of 78-56. They're also on a 7-1 ATS run after failing to cover in their previous game. I'm betting the Cardinals bounce back in a big way. I'm laying the points with Louisville on Tuesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Pick Made: Dec 31 2013 2:08AM PST
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